Final May 4
IND 121 8.5 o228.5
CLE 112 -8.5 u228.5
Final May 4
GS 103 2.5 o206.0
HOU 89 -2.5 u206.0
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30
Orlando 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE41-41

Houston @ Orlando props

Kia Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Orlando

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 55.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year on his home court. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 46.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will likely get a boost in productivity in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 55.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 15.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year on his home court. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 46.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 19.0% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing at home. Among all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will likely get a boost in productivity in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Cory Joseph Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Joseph
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-111
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-111
Projection Rating

Cory Joseph has successfully made 42.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 45.5% on field goals (9th-best in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a favorable matchup. Cory Joseph has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are the visiting squad (5th-most in the NBA).

Cory Joseph

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Cory Joseph has successfully made 42.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year at home. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot 45.5% on field goals (9th-best in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a favorable matchup. Cory Joseph has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are the visiting squad (5th-most in the NBA).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-130

Fred VanVleet has made 3.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing away from home. Fred VanVleet has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 42.3% on threes (6th-best in the league) vs. the Magic, creating a positive matchup. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Fred VanVleet has made 3.3 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing away from home. Fred VanVleet has played 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 42.3% on threes (6th-best in the league) vs. the Magic, creating a positive matchup. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a difficult matchup. The Magic have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Magic rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a difficult matchup. The Magic have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Magic rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Jabari Smith Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's lackluster 34.6% rate of successful threes ranks 7th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Rockets. Jabari Smith Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Jabari Smith

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to three-point shots, the Rockets's lackluster 34.6% rate of successful threes ranks 7th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Rockets. Jabari Smith Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Franz Wagner has attempted 19.4 shots per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.2 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.4). Franz Wagner has converted 4.2 foul shots per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Franz Wagner has attempted 19.4 shots per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.2 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.4). Franz Wagner has converted 4.2 foul shots per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game.

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-132

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 10.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on the road. Alperen Sengun has converted 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 26.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.3 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 10.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 more than he's put through the net in all games this year while on the road. Alperen Sengun has converted 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 26.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Alperen Sengun registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.3 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Tari Eason has converted 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made overall this season. Tari Eason has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on field goal attempts (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a positive matchup. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing on the road.

Tari Eason

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Tari Eason has converted 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's made overall this season. Tari Eason has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on field goal attempts (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a positive matchup. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing on the road.

Wendell Carter Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter
center C • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 50.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 8.2% more than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 91.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 18.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. Wendell Carter Jr. ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Wendell Carter

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 50.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 8.2% more than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Wendell Carter Jr. has successfully made 91.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 18.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. Wendell Carter Jr. ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Anthony Black Points Scored Props • Orlando

A. Black
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Anthony Black has sunk 43.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Anthony Black has sunk a whopping 2.0 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.7 rate last season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. Anthony Black will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Anthony Black

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Anthony Black has sunk 43.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Anthony Black has sunk a whopping 2.0 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.7 rate last season. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been great at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. Anthony Black will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Dillon Brooks has attempted 15.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 8th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.9). The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Dillon Brooks has attempted 15.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Dillon Brooks has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a favorable one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 8th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.9). The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jalen Green has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 10.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Jalen Green has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8). The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Jalen Green has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 10.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Jalen Green has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8). The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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