Final May 11
OKC 92 -7.0 o228.0
DEN 87 7.0 u228.0
Final May 11
CLE 109 -5.0 o230.5
IND 129 5.0 u230.5
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34

San Antonio @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 66.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 32.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing on the road. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Jeremy Sochan places in the 77th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a monstrous 2.7 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 66.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 32.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing on the road. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Jeremy Sochan places in the 77th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a monstrous 2.7 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Zach Edey Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Edey
center C • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Zach Edey has converted 56.5% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. The number of three-pointers attempted against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (3.5 per game) when on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Zach Edey has successfully made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Zach Edey

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Zach Edey has converted 56.5% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. The number of three-pointers attempted against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (3.5 per game) when on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Zach Edey has successfully made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells places in the 79th percentile for threes drained, tallying 1.9 per game this year. The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's converted overall this year. Jaylen Wells stands to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells places in the 79th percentile for threes drained, tallying 1.9 per game this year. The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.5% higher than he's converted overall this year. Jaylen Wells stands to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Stephon Castle Points Scored Props • San Antonio

S. Castle
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 9.9 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. Stephon Castle will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Stephon Castle

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 9.9 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. Stephon Castle will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.5
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Devin Vassell has converted 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.0 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Devin Vassell

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.5

Devin Vassell has converted 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Vassell measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.0 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

Compared to last season's 5.6 mark, Victor Wembanyama's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 9.1 per game. Victor Wembanyama has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 89th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. In contrast to last year's 78.1% clip, Victor Wembanyama's foul-shot performance has risen this year to 86.0%.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Compared to last season's 5.6 mark, Victor Wembanyama's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 9.1 per game. Victor Wembanyama has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 89th percentile. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. In contrast to last year's 78.1% clip, Victor Wembanyama's foul-shot performance has risen this year to 86.0%.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Chris Paul has made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year away from his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (22.8). The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Chris Paul

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Chris Paul has made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year away from his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, Chris Paul lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (22.8). The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Under
-130

Compared to last season's 8.6 clip, Desmond Bane's shot attempts from beyond the arc have been reduced this season to 5.6 per game. Desmond Bane has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Compared to last season's 8.6 clip, Desmond Bane's shot attempts from beyond the arc have been reduced this season to 5.6 per game. Desmond Bane has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
center C • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-122

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one; they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one; they have allowed the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8).

Luke Kennard Points Scored Props • Memphis

L. Kennard
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Luke Kennard has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard rates in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a lowly 0.8 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a strong one for shots from the field; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (54.7%). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luke Kennard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Luke Kennard has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Luke Kennard rates in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a lowly 0.8 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a strong one for shots from the field; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (54.7%). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 62.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's made over the course of the year. Harrison Barnes has sunk 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes slots into the 21st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Harrison Barnes has successfully made 62.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's made over the course of the year. Harrison Barnes has sunk 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from three overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes slots into the 21st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Ja Morant has averaged 25.1 points per game over the last 9 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year. Ja Morant has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Ja Morant has averaged 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The matchup against San Antonio is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Spurs are on the road, opposing starting PGs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (48.4%). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Ja Morant

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Ja Morant has averaged 25.1 points per game over the last 9 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year. Ja Morant has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Ja Morant has averaged 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The matchup against San Antonio is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Spurs are on the road, opposing starting PGs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (48.4%). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has successfully made 53.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year on his home court. Santi Aldama has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Santi Aldama will likely see a rise in output for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Santi Aldama has successfully made 53.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year on his home court. Santi Aldama has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile). The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Santi Aldama will likely see a rise in output for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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