Houston @ Denver props

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have notched 12.6 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive output. The Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Peyton Watson has successfully made 56.0% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 6.9% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home. Peyton Watson has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Nuggets.

Dillon Brooks has attempted 8.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks places in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.1 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup with Alperen Sengun slots into the 3rd percentile with the other side's starting Cs burying just 24.5% of their shots from downtown this year. The Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The showdown with Alperen Sengun in regard to getting to the charity stripe ranks in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 2.7 free throws per game this year.

Jalen Green has registered 31.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 more than he's registered overall this year. Jalen Green has sunk 5.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.0 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Houston Rockets.

Christian Braun has converted 54.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season with the home court advantage. Relative to last year's 19.8 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has surged this year to 33.0 minutes per game. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, resulting in a positive matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Cam Whitmore has converted 6.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season while playing away from home. Cam Whitmore has converted 54.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.1% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year away from his home court. Cam Whitmore has been called for 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (14th percentile). The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Houston Rockets.

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 93rd percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 7.6 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.7 minutes per game this year. The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Amen Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 57.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 5.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season at home. Michael Porter Jr. has converted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Alperen Sengun has attempted 17.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Alperen Sengun has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 82nd percentile. The matchup vs. DeAndre Jordan is a strong one for shots from downtown; when Jordan is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 75.0% of their three-pointers (100th percentile). The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more plays for the Houston Rockets.

Out of all players in the league, DeAndre Jordan lands in the 95th percentile for scoring ability at home with a remarkable 63.3% rate this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. DeAndre Jordan will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Russell Westbrook has made 55.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's made in all games this year. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for scoring; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.5%). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games. The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon has gone over 8.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Julian Strawther has gone over 10.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.