Final May 4
IND 121 8.5 o228.5
CLE 112 -8.5 u228.5
Final May 4
GS 103 2.5 o206.0
HOU 89 -2.5 u206.0
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Indiana 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Golden State @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has made a measly 40.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 49.1 mark last season. Draymond Green has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile). With respect to shooting, the Warriors's feeble 102.0 points per game as the visting team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5). The 10th-slowest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

Draymond Green

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Draymond Green has made a measly 40.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 49.1 mark last season. Draymond Green has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile). With respect to shooting, the Warriors's feeble 102.0 points per game as the visting team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5). The 10th-slowest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-121

Kyle Anderson has made 57.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 19.8% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Kyle Anderson slots into the 25th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Kyle Anderson has made 57.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 19.8% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Kyle Anderson slots into the 25th percentile for personal fouls, posting a lowly 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-105

Bennedict Mathurin has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home. The Pacers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the 10th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Bennedict Mathurin has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home. The Pacers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the 10th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tyrese Haliburton has made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (24.4). The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Tyrese Haliburton has made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (24.4). The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 51.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 17.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers. Andrew Nembhard has converted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 51.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 17.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers. Andrew Nembhard has converted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Under
-109

With respect to shooting, the Warriors's feeble 102.0 points per game as the visting team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.9). The 10th-slowest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. Buddy Hield will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production across the board.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

With respect to shooting, the Warriors's feeble 102.0 points per game as the visting team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.9). The 10th-slowest pace away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors. Buddy Hield will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production across the board.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Myles Turner has converted 55.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Myles Turner has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 81st percentile. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers. Myles Turner should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Myles Turner

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Myles Turner has converted 55.0% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Myles Turner has averaged 31.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 81st percentile. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers. Myles Turner should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has converted 54.8% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers. T.J. McConnell will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all stat categories.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

T.J. McConnell has converted 54.8% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers. T.J. McConnell will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-114

Pascal Siakam has converted 7.6 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Pascal Siakam has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Pascal Siakam has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Pascal Siakam has converted 7.6 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Pascal Siakam has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Pascal Siakam has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup.

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
center C • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's made in all games this season. Trayce Jackson-Davis has played 26.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Myles Turner is a positive one for drawing fouls; when Turner is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's made in all games this season. Trayce Jackson-Davis has played 26.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Myles Turner is a positive one for drawing fouls; when Turner is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Lindy Waters Points Scored Props • Golden State

L. Waters
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Lindy Waters III has made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The matchup against the Pacers is a positive one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Lindy Waters III has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.5% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Lindy Waters

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Lindy Waters III has made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three in all games this season. The matchup against the Pacers is a positive one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Lindy Waters III has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.5% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Dennis Schröder Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Schröder
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-130

Dennis Schroder has attempted 5.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Dennis Schroder has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Indiana may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Dennis Schröder

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Dennis Schroder has attempted 5.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Dennis Schroder has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Indiana may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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