LIVE 02:18 4th May 5
DEN 108 10.5 o229.5
OKC 115 -10.5 u229.5
Final OT May 5
NY 108 9.0 o213.0
BOS 105 -9.0 u213.0
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Dallas @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy will likely see a decline in effectiveness across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Jaden Hardy will likely see a decline in effectiveness across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Quentin Grimes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season on the road.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Quentin Grimes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season on the road.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one for threes; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%). Kyrie Irving figures to suffer a drop-off in production across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one for threes; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%). Kyrie Irving figures to suffer a drop-off in production across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has made 85.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. The number of baskets made against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (6.0 per game) when he is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Dereck Lively II has made 85.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. The number of baskets made against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (6.0 per game) when he is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 74.8% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. The number of baskets made against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (6.0 per game) when he is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Daniel Gafford has made 74.8% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. The number of baskets made against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (6.0 per game) when he is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-106

P.J. Washington has sunk 47.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a positive matchup. The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

P.J. Washington has sunk 47.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a positive matchup. The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-132

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 78th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court, tallying 5.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.9 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a good matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 78th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on his home court, tallying 5.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.9 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a good matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter registers in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 5.6 per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings. Kevin Huerter will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter registers in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 5.6 per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings. Kevin Huerter will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production for all stats.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Kings have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

The Kings have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Malik Monk has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Malik Monk has averaged 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Malik Monk has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Malik Monk has averaged 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 14.4 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has played 34.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 14.4 shots from the field per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has played 34.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-105

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 62.6% of his field goal attempts while at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has converted 41.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc playing at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. While on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 11.9 shots from the field against him per game this year.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 62.6% of his field goal attempts while at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has converted 41.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc playing at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has played 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 115.0 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. While on the visiting team and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 11.9 shots from the field against him per game this year.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-124

The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's made overall this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's made overall this season. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-124

Klay Thompson has sunk 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a positive matchup. The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Klay Thompson has sunk 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a positive matchup. The 7th-speediest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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