Final OT May 5
NY 108 9.0 o213.0
BOS 105 -9.0 u213.0
Final May 5
DEN 121 10.5 o229.5
OKC 119 -10.5 u229.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Portland 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Dallas @ Portland props

Moda Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-134

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a good one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have posted the highest FG% in the NBA this year (51.5%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Quentin Grimes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.1% higher than he's made in all games this year on the road.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a good one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have posted the highest FG% in the NBA this year (51.5%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Quentin Grimes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.1% higher than he's made in all games this year on the road.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 98th percentile for scoring performance when playing away from home with a phenomenal 74.8% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 98th percentile for scoring performance when playing away from home with a phenomenal 74.8% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

When it comes to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.6 points per game ranks 6th-worst in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

When it comes to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.6 points per game ranks 6th-worst in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-155
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-155
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 33.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA). Spencer Dinwiddie figures to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 33.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA). Spencer Dinwiddie figures to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Klay Thompson has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Klay Thompson has successfully made 3.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Klay Thompson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PGs have put up the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.8%). The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA). Kyrie Irving will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PGs have put up the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.8%). The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA). Kyrie Irving will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 85.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Deandre Ayton has been quite high this year (3.8 foul shots per game when they are away from home: 97th percentile).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Dereck Lively II has sunk 85.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Deandre Ayton has been quite high this year (3.8 foul shots per game when they are away from home: 97th percentile).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

P.J. Washington has successfully made 47.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.3 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

P.J. Washington has successfully made 47.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.3 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-140

Jerami Grant has sunk 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year playing at home. Jerami Grant has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Jerami Grant has sunk 3.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year playing at home. Jerami Grant has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Anfernee Simons has posted 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.0 higher than he's posted overall this year at home. Anfernee Simons has made 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Anfernee Simons has posted 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.0 higher than he's posted overall this year at home. Anfernee Simons has made 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4). The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Shaedon Sharpe Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Sharpe
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

Shaedon Sharpe has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 12 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. When it comes to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.6 points per game ranks 6th-worst in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Shaedon Sharpe

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Shaedon Sharpe has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 12 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home. When it comes to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.6 points per game ranks 6th-worst in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-109

Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 85th percentile for shots converted with the home court advantage, registering a colossal 6.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a good one for shots from the field; when Gafford is away from his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.8 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Out of all players in the league, Deandre Ayton lands in the 85th percentile for shots converted with the home court advantage, registering a colossal 6.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Deandre Ayton comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a good one for shots from the field; when Gafford is away from his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.8 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Toumani Camara slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game this year. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Toumani Camara

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Out of all players in the league, Toumani Camara slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game this year. The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Toumani Camara has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-117

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Scoot Henderson is expected to get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Scoot Henderson is expected to get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Maxi Kleber has played 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.2 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Maxi Kleber has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Maxi Kleber has played 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.2 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Maxi Kleber has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing on the road.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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