Miami 10th East37-49
Charlotte 14th East19-63

Miami @ Charlotte props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

Haywood Highsmith
H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds

Haywood Highsmith has shot and missed 2.3 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 25th percentile for misses . The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goals per game in the league this year (8.7).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Haywood Highsmith has shot and missed 2.3 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 25th percentile for misses . The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Charlotte Hornets are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goals per game in the league this year (8.7).

LaMelo Ball Points Scored Props • Charlotte

LaMelo Ball
L. Ball
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds

When it comes to shooting, the Hornets's poor 106.6 points per game as the home team settles in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Heat).

LaMelo Ball

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.3
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.3

When it comes to shooting, the Hornets's poor 106.6 points per game as the home team settles in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Heat).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Charlotte

Josh Green
J. Green
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds

Josh Green has made 45.4% of his 3-pointers at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Josh Green will likely see an increase in effectiveness across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Josh Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Josh Green has made 45.4% of his 3-pointers at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Josh Green will likely see an increase in effectiveness across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Brandon Miller Points Scored Props • Charlotte

Brandon Miller
B. Miller
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds

Brandon Miller has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted overall this year. Relative to last year's 6.7 mark, Brandon Miller's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 9.7 per game. Brandon Miller has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Brandon Miller

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Brandon Miller has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted overall this year. Relative to last year's 6.7 mark, Brandon Miller's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 9.7 per game. Brandon Miller has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Tidjane Salaün Points Scored Props • Charlotte

Tidjane Salaün
T. Salaün
power forward PF • Charlotte
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tidjane Salaun has successfully made 43.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year. Tidjane Salaun has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (16th percentile). This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tidjane Salaun has successfully made 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Tidjane Salaün

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Tidjane Salaun has successfully made 43.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year. Tidjane Salaun has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (16th percentile). This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tidjane Salaun has successfully made 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

Duncan Robinson
D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.5 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.5 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a positive matchup. Duncan Robinson has sunk 1.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.5 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.5 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a positive matchup. Duncan Robinson has sunk 1.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 three-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 8.1 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.5 minutes per game on the road this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 three-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 8.1 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.5 minutes per game on the road this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 23.6% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 53.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 23.6% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds

Jimmy Butler has tallied 28.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 16.4 points per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. Jimmy Butler has sunk 88.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Jimmy Butler has tallied 28.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. Over the last 24 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 16.4 points per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. Jimmy Butler has sunk 88.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Taj Gibson Points Scored Props • Charlotte

Taj Gibson
T. Gibson
power forward PF • Charlotte
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 38.9% mark, Taj Gibson's scoring prowess has jumped this year to 50.9%. Compared to last year's 14.3% rate, Taj Gibson's 3-point performance has risen this year to 50.0%. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a positive one for three-point shots; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 56.9% of their 3-point shots (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Taj Gibson should get a boost in productivity in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Taj Gibson

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.9

Relative to last year's 38.9% mark, Taj Gibson's scoring prowess has jumped this year to 50.9%. Compared to last year's 14.3% rate, Taj Gibson's 3-point performance has risen this year to 50.0%. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a positive one for three-point shots; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 56.9% of their 3-point shots (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. Taj Gibson should get a boost in productivity in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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