Philadelphia 13th East24-58
Miami 10th East37-49

Philadelphia @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Paul George Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Paul George
P. George
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds

Paul George has logged 21.9 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 93rd percentile. Out of all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 7.9 per game since the start of last season. Paul George has averaged 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 90th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a strong one for shots from downtown; when defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have converted a massive 51.0% of their attempts from downtown (97th percentile).

Paul George

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Paul George has logged 21.9 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 93rd percentile. Out of all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 7.9 per game since the start of last season. Paul George has averaged 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 90th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a strong one for shots from downtown; when defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have converted a massive 51.0% of their attempts from downtown (97th percentile).

Kelly Oubre Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Kelly Oubre
K. Oubre
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 31.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

Kelly Oubre

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kelly Oubre Jr. has averaged 31.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

Duncan Robinson
D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds

Duncan Robinson has made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Duncan Robinson has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, creating a good matchup. Duncan Robinson has made a whopping 100.0% of his free throws this season, quite a bit more than his 86.5 rate last season. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Duncan Robinson has made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Duncan Robinson has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, creating a good matchup. Duncan Robinson has made a whopping 100.0% of his free throws this season, quite a bit more than his 86.5 rate last season. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

Haywood Highsmith
H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith ranks in the 9th percentile for free-throw performance with a bad 54.2% rate this year.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

The most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Heat. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith ranks in the 9th percentile for free-throw performance with a bad 54.2% rate this year.

Jared McCain Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Jared McCain
J. McCain
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds

Jared McCain has posted 26.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's posted overall this year. Jared McCain has successfully made 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made in all games this season. Jared McCain has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

Jared McCain

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Jared McCain has posted 26.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.4 higher than he's posted overall this year. Jared McCain has successfully made 4.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made in all games this season. Jared McCain has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds

Jimmy Butler has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Jimmy Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Jimmy Butler has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Jimmy Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Joel Embiid Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Joel Embiid
J. Embiid
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid comes in at the 100th percentile, putting up an enormous 33.5 points per game since the start of last season. Joel Embiid has converted 50.1% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.4 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season. The rate of shots from downtown made against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (60.0%) when he is playing at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Joel Embiid has attempted 11.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Joel Embiid

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid comes in at the 100th percentile, putting up an enormous 33.5 points per game since the start of last season. Joel Embiid has converted 50.1% of his shots from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.4 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season. The rate of shots from downtown made against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (60.0%) when he is playing at home and defending fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile). Joel Embiid has attempted 11.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.9
Best Odds

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Tyler Herro has made a terrific 4.6 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last season. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the 76ers are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.9%). As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.9

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Tyler Herro has made a terrific 4.6 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last season. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the 76ers are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.9%). As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

Kevin Love
K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on threes (4th-best in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a good matchup. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.5 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe. Kevin Love will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production across the board.

Kevin Love

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on threes (4th-best in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a good matchup. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.5 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe. Kevin Love will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production across the board.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

Nikola Jović
N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Nikola Jovic is expected to see an increase in productivity for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Nikola Jovic is expected to see an increase in productivity for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Caleb Martin
C. Martin
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has successfully made 56.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Caleb Martin has played a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 27.9 minutes per game last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Caleb Martin has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Caleb Martin has successfully made 56.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Caleb Martin has played a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 27.9 minutes per game last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Caleb Martin has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Lowry
K. Lowry
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry registers in the 18th percentile for missed foul shots while playing away from home, putting up a mere 0.0 per game this year. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry registers in the 18th percentile for missed foul shots while playing away from home, putting up a mere 0.0 per game this year. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the 76ers's exceptional 27.5 foul shots per game as the visting team settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has made 47.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 22.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Bam Adebayo ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Bam Adebayo has made 47.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 22.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game. Bam Adebayo ought to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier lands in the 76th percentile for 3-point ability playing at home with a superb 42.6% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier registers in the 83rd percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 6.0 per game this year. Terry Rozier has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, creating a good matchup. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier lands in the 76th percentile for 3-point ability playing at home with a superb 42.6% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier registers in the 83rd percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 6.0 per game this year. Terry Rozier has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged 46.2% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, creating a good matchup. As a team, the Heat have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 4th-best in the league this year, tallying 25.8 foul shot attempts per game.

Andre Drummond Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Andre Drummond
A. Drummond
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.33
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Andre Drummond has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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