Miami 10th East37-49
Indiana 4th East65-39

Miami @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

Myles Turner
M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Myles Turner comes in at the 77th percentile, totaling a whopping 16.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner rates in the 79th percentile for three-point shots drained, posting 2.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner places in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one; he has given up a massive 17.9 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

Myles Turner

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Among all players in the league, Myles Turner comes in at the 77th percentile, totaling a whopping 16.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner rates in the 79th percentile for three-point shots drained, posting 2.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner places in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one; he has given up a massive 17.9 points per game when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds

Terry Rozier has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 78th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have scored 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, designating this as a good matchup for offensive production. The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.3 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Terry Rozier has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 78th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have scored 19.0 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, designating this as a good matchup for offensive production. The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.3 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Ben Sheppard Points Scored Props • Indiana

Ben Sheppard
B. Sheppard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Ben Sheppard slots into the 77th percentile for 3-point prowess with a phenomenal 39.7% rate this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. Ben Sheppard will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

Ben Sheppard

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Out of all players in the league, Ben Sheppard slots into the 77th percentile for 3-point prowess with a phenomenal 39.7% rate this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. Ben Sheppard will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

Haywood Highsmith
H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds

Haywood Highsmith has made 55.9% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (4th-most in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Haywood Highsmith has made 55.9% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (4th-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has sunk 22.4% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league. The Heat check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Heat have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Bam Adebayo has made a measly 64.4% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 74.4 rate last year. Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production across the board.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Bam Adebayo has sunk 22.4% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league. The Heat check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Heat have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Bam Adebayo has made a measly 64.4% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 74.4 rate last year. Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production across the board.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

Kevin Love
K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Kevin Love

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.1
Best Odds

The Heat check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers, marking this as a tough matchup. The Heat have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Tyler Herro will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.1

The Heat check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers, marking this as a tough matchup. The Heat have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Tyler Herro will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (4th-most in the NBA).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 6th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games. The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (4th-most in the NBA).

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

Bennedict Mathurin
B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Bennedict Mathurin lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year. The Heat have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Among all players in the league, Bennedict Mathurin lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year. The Heat have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

Pascal Siakam
P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds

Pascal Siakam has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Heat have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Pascal Siakam has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Heat have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T.J. McConnell
T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Among all players in the league, T.J. McConnell places in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 1.2 fouls per game at home this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. T.J. McConnell figures to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

T.J. McConnell has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Among all players in the league, T.J. McConnell places in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 1.2 fouls per game at home this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. T.J. McConnell figures to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

Tyrese Haliburton
T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. Tyrese Haliburton has sunk 95.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyrese Haliburton registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Pacers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Indiana Pacers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. Tyrese Haliburton has sunk 95.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

Jaime Jaquez
J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played a measly 24.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 28.3 minutes per game last season. The Heat check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Heat have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Compared to last year's 82.3% clip, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s free-throw performance has fallen this year to 65.0%. Jaime Jaquez Jr. stands to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played a measly 24.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 28.3 minutes per game last season. The Heat check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Heat have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year. Compared to last year's 82.3% clip, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s free-throw performance has fallen this year to 65.0%. Jaime Jaquez Jr. stands to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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