Detroit 6th East46-42
Miami 10th East37-49

Detroit @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

Nikola Jović
N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic rates in the 89th percentile for three-point performance with a great 39.5% rate since the start of last season. The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA). Nikola Jovic will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic rates in the 89th percentile for three-point performance with a great 39.5% rate since the start of last season. The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA). Nikola Jovic will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

Tobias Harris
T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds

Tobias Harris has attempted 13.1 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Tobias Harris has sunk 2.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Tobias Harris has attempted 13.1 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a positive matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Tobias Harris has sunk 2.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

Tim Hardaway Points Scored Props • Detroit

Tim Hardaway
T. Hardaway
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, easily managing to draw fouls.

Tim Hardaway

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, easily managing to draw fouls.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 97th percentile for 3-point shots drained, logging 3.1 per game since the start of last season. Tyler Herro has tallied 33.6 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Tyler Herro has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Tyler Herro has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 97th percentile for 3-point shots drained, logging 3.1 per game since the start of last season. Tyler Herro has tallied 33.6 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Tyler Herro has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game while at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Terry Rozier has played 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot performance with a great 89.1% rate since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Terry Rozier has played 31.7 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot performance with a great 89.1% rate since the start of last season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

Malik Beasley
M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds

Malik Beasley has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Malik Beasley has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

Jalen Duren
J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 96th percentile for shooting efficiency with a phenomenal 64.2% rate since the start of last season. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Jalen Duren has attempted 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren registers in the 96th percentile for shooting efficiency with a phenomenal 64.2% rate since the start of last season. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Jalen Duren has attempted 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

Cade Cunningham
C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds

Cade Cunningham has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In terms of offense, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 109.9 points per game settles in as the 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season. The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Heat). Cade Cunningham will likely suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Cade Cunningham has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. In terms of offense, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 109.9 points per game settles in as the 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season. The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Heat). Cade Cunningham will likely suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.4 buckets per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has played 32.8 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a positive one for field goals; when guarding fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have successfully made a massive 61.5% of their field goals (100th percentile). The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 89th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a monstrous 4.8 free throw attempts per game at home since the start of last season.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Bam Adebayo has converted 7.4 buckets per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has played 32.8 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a positive one for field goals; when guarding fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have successfully made a massive 61.5% of their field goals (100th percentile). The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 89th percentile for drawing fouls, registering a monstrous 4.8 free throw attempts per game at home since the start of last season.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

Jimmy Butler
J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds

Jimmy Butler has logged 20.5 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 90th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 95th percentile for three-point ability with a great 42.2% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.8 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season. The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Pistons are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (45.0%). The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Jimmy Butler has logged 20.5 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 90th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 95th percentile for three-point ability with a great 42.2% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.8 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season. The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Pistons are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (45.0%). The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons).

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

Jaime Jaquez
J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds

The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production across the board.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

The Heat are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Detroit Pistons). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production across the board.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

Jaden Ivey
J. Ivey
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden Ivey comes in at the 81st percentile for shots taken, totaling 12.8 per game since the start of last season. Jaden Ivey has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Jaden Ivey has attempted 3.9 free throws per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden Ivey comes in at the 81st percentile for shots taken, totaling 12.8 per game since the start of last season. Jaden Ivey has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season. Jaden Ivey has attempted 3.9 free throws per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

Haywood Highsmith
H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.55
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Stewart Points Scored Props • Detroit

Isaiah Stewart
I. Stewart
center C • Detroit
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.99
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Isaiah Stewart has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Detroit

Simone Fontecchio
S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.95
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Simone Fontecchio has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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