NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 6, 2026

Dallas Mavericks logo DAL @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Fri, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Neemias Queta logo
Neemias Queta o8.5 Points Scored (+100)
Projection 10.68 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -104
o8.5  +100
o8.5  -125
o9.5  -105
o8.5  -129
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Boston Celtics.. The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
+100 at bet365
Points Scored
Cooper Flagg logo
Cooper Flagg u17.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 15.36 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u10.5  -103
u17.5  -110
u16.5  +100
 -
u16.5  +100
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
-110 at bet365
View 7 Picks
Miami Heat logo MIA @ Charlotte Hornets logo CHA Fri, Mar 6 • 7:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
LaMelo Ball logo
LaMelo Ball o18.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 21.33 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -107 DraftKings
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -107
o18.5  -115
o18.5  -125
 -
o18.5  -125
The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).. The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase plays for the Hornets.. The Hornets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
-107 at DraftKings
Total Rebounds
Miles Bridges logo
Miles Bridges o5.5 Total Rebounds (-120)
Projection 6.92 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o6.5  -109
o5.5  -120
o5.5  -136
o6.5  +120
o5.5  -132
The Miami Heat have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should increase plays for the Hornets.. The Hornets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
-120 at bet365
View 3 Picks
Portland Trail Blazers logo POR @ Houston Rockets logo HOU Fri, Mar 6 • 8:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Assists
Scoot Henderson logo
Scoot Henderson u4.5 Total Assists (+122)
Projection 4.04 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +122 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u4.5  -130
u4.5  -120
u4.5  +122
 -
u4.5  +115
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league this year (the Rockets).
+122 at FanDuel
Total Assists
RS
Reed Sheppard u4.5 Total Assists (-112)
Projection 3.84 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 -112 FanDuel
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u3.5  +127
u4.5  -115
u4.5  -112
 -
u4.5  -113
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
-112 at FanDuel
View 2 Picks
New York Knicks logo NY @ Denver Nuggets logo DEN Fri, Mar 6 • 9:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Assists
Karl-Anthony Towns logo
Karl-Anthony Towns o2.5 Total Assists (+140)
Projection 2.84 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +141 DraftKings
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o2.5  +141
o2.5  +115
o2.5  +140
 -
o2.5  +134
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
+141 at DraftKings
View Pick
New Orleans Pelicans logo NO @ Phoenix Suns logo PHO Fri, Mar 6 • 9:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
OI
Oso Ighodaro o8.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 11.63 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -108
o8.5  -105
o9.5  -115
 -
o9.5  -117
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Suns.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank best in in the league with 15.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
-105 at bet365
Total Rebounds
Herbert Jones logo
Herbert Jones o3.5 Total Rebounds (+122)
Projection 4.01 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +122 FanDuel
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  -138
o3.5  +100
o3.5  +122
 -
o3.5  +101
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
+122 at FanDuel
View 2 Picks
LA Clippers logo LAC @ San Antonio Spurs logo SA Fri, Mar 6 • 9:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Kawhi Leonard logo
Kawhi Leonard u27.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 25.27 (Under)
Best Odds
u27.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u13.5  -105
u27.5  -112
u27.5  -118
 -
u27.5  -120
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 36.0% on shots from the field (worst in the league) vs. the Spurs, identifying this as a tough matchup.. The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year.. The LA Clippers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Devin Vassell logo
Devin Vassell o12.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 14.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -107
o12.5  -105
o13.5  -104
 -
o13.5  -108
The Spurs have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.. The Spurs check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
-105 at bet365
View 3 Picks
Indiana Pacers logo IND @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Fri, Mar 6 • 10:30 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Rebounds
Jaxson Hayes logo
Jaxson Hayes u6.5 Total Rebounds (-120)
Projection 4.13 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u4.5  -129
u6.5  -120
u5.5  -102
 -
u5.5  +113
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
-120 at bet365
Total Assists
Austin Reaves logo
Austin Reaves u5.5 Total Assists (+110)
Projection 4.67 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u5.5  -139
u5.5  +110
u5.5  +102
 -
u5.5  +101
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
+110 at bet365
View 2 Picks

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