Final Dec 9
NY 113 -7.5 o233.0
TOR 108 7.5 u233.0
Atlanta 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE13-12
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE19-5

Atlanta @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Garrison Mathews Points Scored Props • Atlanta

G. Mathews
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Garrison Mathews slots into the 89th percentile for three-pointers drained, compiling 2.8 per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Garrison Mathews

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Out of all players in the league, Garrison Mathews slots into the 89th percentile for three-pointers drained, compiling 2.8 per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks. Jalen Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production for all stats.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks. Jalen Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production for all stats.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 32.4% mark, Dyson Daniels's three-point performance has diminished this season to 23.7%. Out of all players in the league, Dyson Daniels comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.9 fouls per game this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

In contrast to last season's 32.4% mark, Dyson Daniels's three-point performance has diminished this season to 23.7%. Out of all players in the league, Dyson Daniels comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.9 fouls per game this year. When it comes to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks. Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
29
Best Odds
Over
-124

Jayson Tatum has posted an impressive 30.6 points per game this season, a big improvement over his 26.5 points per game last season. Jayson Tatum has attempted 11.6 three-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.0 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have put up 21.1 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29

Jayson Tatum has posted an impressive 30.6 points per game this season, a big improvement over his 26.5 points per game last season. Jayson Tatum has attempted 11.6 three-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.0 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have put up 21.1 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hawks, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point prowess with a phenomenal 42.3% rate this year. Al Horford has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (19th percentile). As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. The rate of treys converted against Clint Capela has been very high (50.0%) when he is playing on the road and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.

Al Horford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Al Horford measures in the 81st percentile for 3-point prowess with a phenomenal 42.3% rate this year. Al Horford has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (19th percentile). As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. The rate of treys converted against Clint Capela has been very high (50.0%) when he is playing on the road and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White lands in the 82nd percentile, compiling a whopping 18.8 points per game this year. Derrick White has converted a terrific 3.6 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last year. Derrick White has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks, making this a good matchup.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White lands in the 82nd percentile, compiling a whopping 18.8 points per game this year. Derrick White has converted a terrific 3.6 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.8 mark last year. Derrick White has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 2.8 3-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks, making this a good matchup.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 8.9 buckets per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.6 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Hawks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest FG% in the NBA this year (55.3%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 8.9 buckets per game while playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.6 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Hawks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest FG% in the NBA this year (55.3%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday lands in the 76th percentile for 3-pointers hit, putting up 2.0 per game this year. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics. The matchup against the Hawks may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA). Jrue Holiday figures to see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Among all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday lands in the 76th percentile for 3-pointers hit, putting up 2.0 per game this year. As it relates to scoring, the Celtics's outstanding 120.2 points per game measures as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics. The matchup against the Hawks may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA). Jrue Holiday figures to see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Clint Capela

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 5.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Zaccharie Risacher has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Zaccharie Risacher has successfully made 5.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Zaccharie Risacher has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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