Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 29, 2026
SA
@
OKC
Sat, May 30 • 8:00 PM ET
The big men shine brightest on the biggest stage. Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama add to their rivalry with OKC’s 7-footer projected for as many as 16 points and nine rebounds while the Spurs’ 7-footer is capable of 27 points and 13 rebounds – a mark he would have surpassed if he didn’t sit in garbage time of Game 6. As basketball bettors and NBA fans, we can only hope Game 7 takes a different path and stays close. I like Oklahoma City’s edge at home Saturday.
OKC's defense has made the biggest difference at home by being disruptive. They’ve forced the Spurs into an average of 19.7 turnovers in three games at OKC (six more than in San Antonio), quickly translating those miscues into 25 average points off turnovers. Nerves will get the better of the young Spurs and feed into those transition buckets for Oklahoma City.
Rarely do you get precedent in these high-pressure scenarios, but Holmgren also struggled offensively vs. Indiana in last year NBA Finals. He followed a 6-for-24 skid in Games 5 and 6 with a big 18-point effort in Game 7. Chet can answer the bell. His projections sit as high as 16 points.
Holmgren has hauled in 22 total rebounds the past two games. Chet has been in position for 36 rebounding opportunities in that span and is aggressive on the offensive glass, with seven boards on the offensive end the past two showings.
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