Phoenix 6th Western Conference49-33
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
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Phoenix @ Minnesota props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 57.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season on the road. Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 28.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.3 per game) when at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 57.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season on the road. Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 28.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Rudy Gobert has been very high (3.3 per game) when at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home. Kevin Durant has sunk just 4.9 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.8 mark last season. The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the league).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from home. Kevin Durant has sunk just 4.9 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.8 mark last season. The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage (9th-least in the league).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 90th percentile, registering a colossal 20.7 points per game while at home this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 4.2 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns measures in the 90th percentile, registering a colossal 20.7 points per game while at home this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Karl-Anthony Towns has made 4.2 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Royce O'Neale comes in at the 83rd percentile for 3-point attempts while on the road, putting up 5.2 per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 29.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Royce O'Neale comes in at the 83rd percentile for 3-point attempts while on the road, putting up 5.2 per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Royce O'Neale has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 29.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.3 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.1%). The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 29.3 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (41.1%). The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.7% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-125

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 three-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 three-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Grayson Allen has successfully made an impressive 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 mark last year. Grayson Allen has played an impressive 33.5 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 27.5 minutes per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Grayson Allen has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Grayson Allen has successfully made an impressive 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 mark last year. Grayson Allen has played an impressive 33.5 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 27.5 minutes per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Grayson Allen has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has attempted 13.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Naz Reid has made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while at home. Naz Reid has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

Naz Reid

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Naz Reid has attempted 13.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Naz Reid has made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year while at home. Naz Reid has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2). The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2). The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-102

Rudy Gobert has made 66.1% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Rudy Gobert has made 66.1% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-125

Devin Booker has scored 27.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Devin Booker has sunk 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Devin Booker has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Devin Booker has scored 27.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile. Devin Booker has sunk 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Devin Booker has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 98th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-112

Bradley Beal has sunk 53.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 11.6% more than he's made overall this season. Bradley Beal has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Bradley Beal has sunk 53.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 11.6% more than he's made overall this season. Bradley Beal has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Suns. The Suns check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.06
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.06
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

Kyle Anderson has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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