Detroit 15th East14-68
Dallas 5th West50-32
NBALP, WFAA

Detroit @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

Derrick Jones Jr.
D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Pistons are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (45.0%).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Derrick Jones Jr. has converted 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 6.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Detroit is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Pistons are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (45.0%).

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

Dante Exum
D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds

Dante Exum has successfully made 47.9% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Dante Exum has tallied 25.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games while at home, 4.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Dante Exum

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Dante Exum has successfully made 47.9% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Dante Exum has tallied 25.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games while at home, 4.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

Daniel Gafford
D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 96th percentile for scoring ability with the home court advantage with a great 66.8% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The clash with Jalen Duren places in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs hitting a colossal 42.2% of their three-point attempts this year. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 96th percentile for scoring ability with the home court advantage with a great 66.8% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The clash with Jalen Duren places in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs hitting a colossal 42.2% of their three-point attempts this year. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P.J. Washington
P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds

P.J. Washington has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons). The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

P.J. Washington has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons). The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the league).

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

Jaden Hardy
J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds

Jaden Hardy has attempted 3.6 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 lower than he's attempted in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Jaden Hardy has attempted 3.6 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 lower than he's attempted in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

Tim Hardaway Jr.
T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 7.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons). Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 7.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons). Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

Jaden Ivey
J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds

Jaden Ivey has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pistons grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Jaden Ivey ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Jaden Ivey has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pistons grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Jaden Ivey ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Malachi Flynn Points Scored Props • Detroit

Malachi Flynn
M. Flynn
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds

Malachi Flynn has tallied 16.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. Malachi Flynn has attempted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Malachi Flynn

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Malachi Flynn has tallied 16.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. Malachi Flynn has attempted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Troy Brown Jr. Points Scored Props • Detroit

Troy Brown Jr.
T. Brown Jr.
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Troy Brown Jr. has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.1 more than he's averaged overall this year. Troy Brown Jr. has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 15th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Troy Brown Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Troy Brown Jr. has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.1 more than he's averaged overall this year. Troy Brown Jr. has tallied 0.8 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 15th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Marcus Sasser Points Scored Props • Detroit

Marcus Sasser
M. Sasser
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pistons grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe. Marcus Sasser will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production across the board.

Marcus Sasser

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a tough matchup. Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pistons grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe. Marcus Sasser will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production across the board.

James Wiseman Points Scored Props • Detroit

James Wiseman
J. Wiseman
center C • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds

James Wiseman has been on the court for 21.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks). The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (83rd percentile).

James Wiseman

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

James Wiseman has been on the court for 21.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks). The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a strong one for drawing fouls; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (83rd percentile).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

Luka Doncic
L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
35.3
Best Odds

In contrast to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 10.6 per game. Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 35.3
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
35.3

In contrast to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 10.6 per game. Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

Jalen Duren
J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds

Jalen Duren has sunk a whopping 5.7 buckets per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.9 mark last year. Jalen Duren has tallied 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Jalen Duren

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Jalen Duren has sunk a whopping 5.7 buckets per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.9 mark last year. Jalen Duren has tallied 29.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons. The Pistons are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

Chimezie Metu Points Scored Props • Detroit

Chimezie Metu
C. Metu
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds

Chimezie Metu has successfully made 4.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's converted over the course of the year. Chimezie Metu has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a good matchup. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.

Chimezie Metu

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Chimezie Metu has successfully made 4.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's converted over the course of the year. Chimezie Metu has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a good matchup. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

Josh Green
J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.32
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Josh Green has gone over 8.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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