Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Houston 11th Western Conference41-41
NBALP

Dallas @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Under
-105

Amen Thompson has converted 14.6% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 46.0% field goal rate rates 5th-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Amen Thompson has converted 14.6% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 46.0% field goal rate rates 5th-lowest in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a good matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a good matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the league with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 80.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 80.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-118

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 5th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from home, tallying 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Daniel Gafford stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 5th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from home, tallying 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Daniel Gafford stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

Cam Whitmore Points Scored Props • Houston

C. Whitmore
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 46.0% field goal rate rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.

Cam Whitmore

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 46.0% field goal rate rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-115

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 46.0% field goal rate rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home. With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 46.0% field goal rate rates 5th-lowest in the league this year.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled an impressive 8.8 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.8 points per game last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.2 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.2 mark last season. Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a terrific 23.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 13.7 minutes per game last year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has totaled an impressive 8.8 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 4.8 points per game last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.2 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.2 mark last season. Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged a terrific 23.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 13.7 minutes per game last year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

P.J. Washington has averaged 29.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The matchup against Houston may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are playing at home (most in the NBA).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

P.J. Washington has averaged 29.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The matchup against Houston may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are playing at home (most in the NBA).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kyrie Irving has logged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.6 more than he's logged over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Kyrie Irving has logged 29.0 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.6 more than he's logged over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
33.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Relative to last season's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shots has dropped this season to 8.9 foul shots per game. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.4
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.4

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Relative to last season's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shots has dropped this season to 8.9 foul shots per game. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-106

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Fred VanVleet has converted 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while at home. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Fred VanVleet has converted 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while at home. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Over
-127

Jalen Green has logged 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 13.0 higher than he's logged in all games this season. Jalen Green has attempted 11.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has been on the court for 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Jalen Green

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

Jalen Green has logged 33.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 13.0 higher than he's logged in all games this season. Jalen Green has attempted 11.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has been on the court for 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets. The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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