Milwaukee 3rd Eastern Conference49-33
Atlanta 10th Eastern Conference36-46

Milwaukee @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Vit Krejci Points Scored Props • Atlanta

V. Krejci
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Vit Krejci has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. Vit Krejci has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a favorable one for field goals; when the Milwaukee Bucks are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most field goals per game in the league this year (7.0). The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Vit Krejci

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Vit Krejci has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. Vit Krejci has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a favorable one for field goals; when the Milwaukee Bucks are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most field goals per game in the league this year (7.0). The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
31
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 12.2 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has regressed this season to 10.9 foul shots per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 12.2 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has regressed this season to 10.9 foul shots per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Patrick Beverley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Beverley
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+114
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+114
Projection Rating

With respect to scoring, the Bucks's remarkable 120.3 points per game places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Patrick Beverley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

With respect to scoring, the Bucks's remarkable 120.3 points per game places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

The 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

The 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-130

Clint Capela has converted 69.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% more than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage. When defending fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 100th percentile with a massive 12.3 shots from the field against him per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Clint Capela will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Clint Capela has converted 69.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% more than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage. When defending fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 100th percentile with a massive 12.3 shots from the field against him per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks). The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Clint Capela will likely get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-127

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.6 rate last year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 43.5% on three-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a favorable matchup. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Bogdan Bogdanovic has sunk 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage. Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.6 rate last year. Bogdan Bogdanovic has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 43.5% on three-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a favorable matchup. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo team in the league this year (the Bucks).

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter places in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.2 fouls per game at home this year. The 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Among all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter places in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.2 fouls per game at home this year. The 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Khris Middleton has converted 5.6 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Khris Middleton has sunk 53.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 15.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season without the home court advantage. Khris Middleton has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Bucks's remarkable 120.3 points per game places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (60.1%).

Khris Middleton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Khris Middleton has converted 5.6 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Khris Middleton has sunk 53.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 15.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season without the home court advantage. Khris Middleton has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Bucks's remarkable 120.3 points per game places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (60.1%).

Bruno Fernando Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Fernando
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Bruno Fernando has sunk 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc at home this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league. Bruno Fernando has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Bruno Fernando

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Bruno Fernando has sunk 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc at home this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league. Bruno Fernando has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home. The 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
+100

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Beasley will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Malik Beasley will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Bobby Portis has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Hawks). The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-120

Brook Lopez has sunk 46.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 12.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez places in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.5 minutes per game away from home this year. With respect to scoring, the Bucks's remarkable 120.3 points per game places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Brook Lopez has sunk 46.5% of his treys over the last 10 games, 12.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez places in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.5 minutes per game away from home this year. With respect to scoring, the Bucks's remarkable 120.3 points per game places 4th-strongest in the league this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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