Miami @ Cleveland props

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a challenging matchup. The most lethargic tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers). The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Nikola Jovic has sunk 41.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 41.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).

Patty Mills has successfully made 18.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 13.4% less than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Patty Mills has been on the court for 11.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA: 24th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 12.1 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, creating a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The most lethargic tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).

Darius Garland has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Darius Garland has attempted a measly 3.5 foul shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 4.7 rate last year.

Bam Adebayo has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile). The most lethargic tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers). The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Allen is playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game (7th percentile).

Georges Niang has converted 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three overall this season. Georges Niang has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Georges Niang has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Thomas Bryant has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (21st percentile). The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Isaac Okoro has attempted 9.6 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Isaac Okoro has converted 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 10.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. Isaac Okoro has played 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.8 more than he's played over the course of the season at home. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for shots converted, registering a whopping 4.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Jarrett Allen has scored 20.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.7 more than he's scored overall this season at home. Jarrett Allen has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.6 more than he's played overall this year at home. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. Jarrett Allen has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Jarrett Allen will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases stat production across the board.

Sam Merrill has attempted 7.8 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Sam Merrill has played 24.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. Sam Merrill has converted 91.7% of his foul shot attempts at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Sam Merrill is expected to see an increase in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Caris LeVert has attempted 12.3 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 10.2 mark last year. Caris LeVert has attempted 5.1 three-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Caris LeVert has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, creating a favorable matchup. Terry Rozier has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Tristan Thompson has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Marcus Morris Sr. has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Martin has gone over 12.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.