Miami 8th Eastern Conference46-36
Philadelphia 7th Eastern Conference47-35
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Miami @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nicolas Batum Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

N. Batum
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Nicolas Batum has converted 48.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 9.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Nicolas Batum will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production across the board.

Nicolas Batum

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Nicolas Batum has converted 48.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 9.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season with the home court advantage. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Nicolas Batum will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production across the board.

Mo Bamba Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

M. Bamba
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Mo Bamba has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 39.7% higher than he's converted overall this year. Mo Bamba will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Mo Bamba

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Mo Bamba has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 39.7% higher than he's converted overall this year. Mo Bamba will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 58.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Haywood Highsmith has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one for 3-point shots; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (45.6%).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 58.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Haywood Highsmith has converted 50.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one for 3-point shots; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (45.6%).

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre Jr.
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Under
-112

Kelly Oubre Jr. has successfully made a lowly 1.4 threes per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.3 rate last season. Among all players in the league, Kelly Oubre Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. When it comes to offense, the 76ers's unimpressive 93.4 points per game measures as the fewest in the league over the last 5 games. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Kelly Oubre Jr. has successfully made a lowly 1.4 threes per game this season, significantly lower than his 2.3 rate last season. Among all players in the league, Kelly Oubre Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year. When it comes to offense, the 76ers's unimpressive 93.4 points per game measures as the fewest in the league over the last 5 games. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Nikola Jovic Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jovic
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic places in the 11th percentile for free-throw effectiveness when playing on the road with a bad 54.4% rate this year. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the 76ers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Nikola Jovic

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic places in the 11th percentile for free-throw effectiveness when playing on the road with a bad 54.4% rate this year. Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the 76ers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (11.3). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (11.3). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year. The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers). The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kyle Lowry has made 95.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 10.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Kyle Lowry will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance across the board.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Kyle Lowry has made 95.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 10.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Kyle Lowry will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance across the board.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has made 53.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 14.2% more than he's converted from three overall this season. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Caleb Martin has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's made overall this season.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Caleb Martin has made 53.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 14.2% more than he's converted from three overall this season. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Caleb Martin has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.3% higher than he's made overall this season.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-102

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.6 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.7%). Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 88th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, putting up a massive 3.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.6 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.7%). Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 88th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, putting up a massive 3.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Tyrese Maxey has attempted 22.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Maxey registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tyrese Maxey has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.9

Tyrese Maxey has attempted 22.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Maxey registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tyrese Maxey has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Duncan Robinson has made 4.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing on the road. Duncan Robinson has played 32.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Duncan Robinson has made 4.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing on the road. Duncan Robinson has played 32.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jimmy Butler has posted 19.4 points per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 43.8% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 99th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a colossal 7.9 free throw attempts per game this year.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Jimmy Butler has posted 19.4 points per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a great 43.8% rate this year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 99th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a colossal 7.9 free throw attempts per game this year.

Paul Reed Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

P. Reed
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Paul Reed has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 13.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Paul Reed has been on the court for 27.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Paul Reed has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 21.8% higher than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage. Paul Reed stands to see an increase in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Paul Reed

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Paul Reed has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 13.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Paul Reed has been on the court for 27.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Paul Reed has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 21.8% higher than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage. Paul Reed stands to see an increase in performance across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Harris
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-104

Tobias Harris has attempted 15.0 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tobias Harris has made an impressive 2.7 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.5 rate last year.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Tobias Harris has attempted 15.0 shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tobias Harris has made an impressive 2.7 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.5 rate last year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Bam Adebayo has made 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 73.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The showdown with Mo Bamba comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs burying an enormous 63.7% of their shots from the field this year.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Bam Adebayo has made 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 73.3% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The showdown with Mo Bamba comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs burying an enormous 63.7% of their shots from the field this year.

KJ Martin Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Martin
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.73
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.73
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

KJ Martin has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.67
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-105

Buddy Hield has gone over 11.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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