Phoenix 6th Western Conference49-33
Milwaukee 3rd Eastern Conference49-33
ABC

Phoenix @ Milwaukee props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance across the board.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 34.8 minutes per game while at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player performance across the board.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-110

In contrast to last year's 31.5% clip, Jusuf Nurkic's 3-point proficiency has diminished this year to 21.3%. Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. The matchup with Brook Lopez when it comes to getting to the foul line rates in the 4th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting just 2.3 foul shots per game this year.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

In contrast to last year's 31.5% clip, Jusuf Nurkic's 3-point proficiency has diminished this year to 21.3%. Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. The matchup with Brook Lopez when it comes to getting to the foul line rates in the 4th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting just 2.3 foul shots per game this year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) against the Suns, marking this as a tough matchup. The Bucks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. In contrast to last season's 12.2 clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has declined this season to 11.2 foul shots per game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.4
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.4

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 3-pointers per game (lowest in the league) against the Suns, marking this as a tough matchup. The Bucks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. In contrast to last season's 12.2 clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shots has declined this season to 11.2 foul shots per game.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. Relative to last year's 6.8 mark, Kevin Durant's foul shots made have regressed this year to 5.4 per game. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Bucks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Kevin Durant ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Phoenix Suns. Relative to last year's 6.8 mark, Kevin Durant's foul shots made have regressed this year to 5.4 per game. Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Bucks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Kevin Durant ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 16.1 rate, Brook Lopez's points per game have been reduced this season to 12.5. Compared to last year's 52.4% rate, Brook Lopez's shooting efficiency has decreased this year to 46.5%. Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

In contrast to last season's 16.1 rate, Brook Lopez's points per game have been reduced this season to 12.5. Compared to last year's 52.4% rate, Brook Lopez's shooting efficiency has decreased this year to 46.5%. Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year. The Bucks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jae Crowder Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

J. Crowder
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Jae Crowder has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (2nd-most in the NBA). Jae Crowder stands to get a boost in production in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jae Crowder

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Jae Crowder has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (2nd-most in the NBA). Jae Crowder stands to get a boost in production in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has made 7.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Bobby Portis has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Bobby Portis ought to see a rise in performance in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Bobby Portis has made 7.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Bobby Portis has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Bobby Portis ought to see a rise in performance in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this game.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-106

Bradley Beal has made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (6.2). The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA while on the road with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Bradley Beal has made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Bucks is a strong one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (6.2). The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA while on the road with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Grayson Allen has converted 58.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. Grayson Allen has made 59.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 10.1% more than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing away from home. Out of all players in the league, Grayson Allen rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have put up 19.8 points per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Suns.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Grayson Allen has converted 58.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage. Grayson Allen has made 59.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 10.1% more than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing away from home. Out of all players in the league, Grayson Allen rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 32.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have put up 19.8 points per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Suns.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Devin Booker has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Devin Booker has tallied 36.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup against the Bucks is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7). The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA while on the road with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Devin Booker

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

Devin Booker has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Devin Booker has tallied 36.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup against the Bucks is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7). The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA while on the road with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Beasley has played a terrific 29.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 23.6 minutes per game last year. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Malik Beasley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 38.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Malik Beasley has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Malik Beasley has played a terrific 29.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 23.6 minutes per game last year. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks. Malik Beasley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 38.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Khris Middleton has successfully made 50.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. Khris Middleton has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have shot 41.1% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a positive matchup. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Khris Middleton has successfully made 50.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. Khris Middleton has played 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's excellent 120.4 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have shot 41.1% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a positive matchup. The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.57
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
7.57
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
-115

Royce O'Neale has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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