Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25
TNT, Sportsnet

Dallas @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Gordon Hayward registers in the 78th percentile for three-point ability with an impressive 38.2% rate this year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Gordon Hayward will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Out of all players in the league, Gordon Hayward registers in the 78th percentile for three-point ability with an impressive 38.2% rate this year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Gordon Hayward will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has made 59.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 13.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dante Exum

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Dante Exum has made 59.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 13.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jalen Williams has successfully made 45.4% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Jalen Williams has successfully made 45.4% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-115

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.5 shots made from the field per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The clash with Daniel Gafford lands in the 97th percentile with the other team's starting Cs making a massive 39.2% of their three-point attempts this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Chet Holmgren has converted 6.5 shots made from the field per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The clash with Daniel Gafford lands in the 97th percentile with the other team's starting Cs making a massive 39.2% of their three-point attempts this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 51.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup vs. Tim Hardaway Jr. is a strong one for shots from the field; when Hardaway Jr. is on the visiting team fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk a colossal 50.1% of their shots from the field (90th percentile).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.5
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.5

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 51.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.2% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup vs. Tim Hardaway Jr. is a strong one for shots from the field; when Hardaway Jr. is on the visiting team fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk a colossal 50.1% of their shots from the field (90th percentile).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 99th percentile for scoring ability with a great 70.0% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 99th percentile for scoring ability with a great 70.0% rate this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Kyrie Irving has tallied 32.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Kyrie Irving has tallied 32.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 100.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 29.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The number of points posted against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (15.7 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 100.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 29.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The number of points posted against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (15.7 per game) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 8.1 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
+102

Josh Giddey has made 59.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Josh Giddey has made 59.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

P.J. Washington has sunk 54.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home. P.J. Washington has played 29.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

P.J. Washington has sunk 54.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home. P.J. Washington has played 29.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 61.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 20.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 61.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 20.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the Thunder's terrific 120.7 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Luguentz Dort will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-139
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-139
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-least in the league). Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player production across the board.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-least in the league). Derrick Jones Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player production across the board.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.89
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-108
Under
-118
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
32.89
Best Odds
Over
-108
Under
-118

Luka Doncic has gone over 33.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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