Minnesota @ Cleveland props

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have posted the 30th-lowest FG% in the league this year (39.8%). The 2nd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 4.7 clip, Darius Garland's number of free throw attempts has regressed this season to 3.5 free throw attempts per game.

Kyle Anderson has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 27th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dean Wade has sunk 54.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 16.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Dean Wade has attempted 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Cavaliers have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. Dean Wade stands to see an increase in performance in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Naz Reid has attempted 4.6 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.2 mark last season. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's remarkable 122.4 points per game as the visting team settles in as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. In contrast to last season's 66.9% rate, Naz Reid's free-throw effectiveness has jumped this season to 74.5%.

Anthony Edwards has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals. The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 30th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen comes in at the 95th percentile for field goal ability with a an outstanding 64.2% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year. The Cavaliers have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.3 shots from downtown per game (97th percentile). Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.2 free throws per game at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while on the road. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers). The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (30th-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line. Mike Conley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player production for all stats.

In contrast to last season's 10.2 mark, Caris LeVert's shots have spiked this season to 12.3 per game. Caris LeVert has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Cavaliers have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. Caris LeVert has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 27.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court. Caris LeVert will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise player performance in all facets of the game.

Georges Niang has successfully made 54.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 12.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Georges Niang slots into the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 4.6 per game this year. The Cavaliers have been the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls. Georges Niang figures to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

The 2nd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (29th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Rudy Gobert has made 61.5% of his field goals away from home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's remarkable 122.4 points per game as the visting team settles in as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a positive one for scoring; when Allen is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted an enormous 61.4% of their field goals (90th percentile).

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 57.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.4% more than he's converted overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile. As it relates to offense, the Timberwolves's remarkable 122.4 points per game as the visting team settles in as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. Jaden McDaniels has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 15.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.8 foul shots per game this year (27th-most in the NBA).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Sam Merrill has gone over 9.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.