Memphis 13th Western Conference27-55
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
BSN, NBALP, ESPN

Memphis @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.8 minutes per game on his home court this year. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a favorable matchup. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.8 minutes per game on his home court this year. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a favorable matchup. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Naz Reid ranks in the 79th percentile for 3-pointers sunk at home, registering 1.9 per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Naz Reid has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 19.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (7th-least in the league).

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Among all players in the NBA, Naz Reid ranks in the 79th percentile for 3-pointers sunk at home, registering 1.9 per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Naz Reid has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 19.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (7th-least in the league).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have grabbed 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. ranks in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have grabbed 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

Ziaire Williams Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Williams
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Ziaire Williams has averaged 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season. Ziaire Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game. The matchup against Minnesota may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court (25th-most in the NBA).

Ziaire Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Ziaire Williams has averaged 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season. Ziaire Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game. The matchup against Minnesota may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court (25th-most in the NBA).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied overall this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 4.3 shots made from the field per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

Anthony Edwards has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied overall this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 4.3 shots made from the field per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jordan Goodwin Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Goodwin
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Jordan Goodwin has been on the court for 6.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 6.9 less than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jordan Goodwin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Jordan Goodwin has been on the court for 6.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 6.9 less than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). The Grizzlies check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Jaden McDaniels has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's made in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production across the board.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Jaden McDaniels has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.8% more than he's made in all games this season. Jaden McDaniels will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve player production across the board.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 6.7 clip, Santi Aldama's shots taken have surged this year to 9.0 per game. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Compared to last year's 6.7 clip, Santi Aldama's shots taken have surged this year to 9.0 per game. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 52.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 14.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road. Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 52.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 14.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road. Vince Williams Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. Vince Williams Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game.

GG Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

G. Jackson
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

GG Jackson has attempted 13.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. GG Jackson has attempted 6.7 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. GG Jackson has averaged 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 8.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. This year, their opposition has put up 106.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive performance. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game.

GG Jackson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

GG Jackson has attempted 13.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. GG Jackson has attempted 6.7 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. GG Jackson has averaged 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 8.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. This year, their opposition has put up 106.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive performance. As a team, the Grizzlies have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line recently: 9th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 22.0 foul shots per game.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 70.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.8% higher than he's made in all games this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 70.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 5.8% higher than he's made in all games this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 46.9% of his three-point attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 5.4 higher than he's played in all games this season at home. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's converted overall this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Mike Conley has made 46.9% of his three-point attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 5.4 higher than he's played in all games this season at home. In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's excellent 48.9% field goal percentage measures as the 8th-most in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.5% more than he's converted overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic