Dallas @ Denver Picks & Props

Seth Curry has sunk 53.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Seth Curry has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's superb 119.3 points per game as the road team comes in as the 5th-highest in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have posted 20.4 points per game (29th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Michael Porter Jr. figures to see a rise in performance across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Luka Doncic has committed 0.6 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on 3-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) against the Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup. The Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 41.2% of his three-point shots this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.0). The matchup vs. Seth Curry is a strong one for shots from the field; when defending fellow starting SGs this year, they have converted a monstrous 49.0% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

Grant Williams has sunk 2.2 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's superb 119.3 points per game as the road team comes in as the 5th-highest in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from home this year. Grant Williams has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 23.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on the road.

Out of all players in the NBA, Reggie Jackson measures in the 78th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a a remarkable 39.7% rate this year. This matchup is a challenging one for three-point shots; opposing squads have compiled the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (32.5%). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Reggie Jackson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 27.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 19.4 field goals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 16.1 rate last season. Nikola Jokic has sunk 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. Nikola Jokic has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 88th percentile. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting Cs have scored 20.6 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

Compared to last year's 34.0 mark, Jamal Murray's playing time has declined this year to 28.5 minutes per game. Jamal Murray has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (98th percentile). With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Nuggets. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's superb 119.3 points per game as the road team comes in as the 5th-highest in the NBA this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from home this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Relative to last year's 32.3% rate, Aaron Gordon's 3-point prowess has decreased this year to 20.2%. With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Nuggets. Over the last 25 games, their opposition has snagged 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense). Compared to last season's 62.4% clip, Aaron Gordon's free-throw ability has tailed off this season to 51.1%.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a massive 26.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA). Tim Hardaway Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance for all stats.

Dante Exum has converted 70.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.4% higher than he's converted overall this year. Dante Exum has converted 63.9% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 31.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Dante Exum has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.8 more than he's played overall this season. As it relates to offense, the Mavericks's superb 119.3 points per game as the road team comes in as the 5th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point shots; the other team has averaged the 4th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.1).

Dwight Powell has tallied a lowly 13.7 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 18.6 minutes per game last season. The Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (7th-least in the NBA).

Christian Braun has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.