Miami @ Milwaukee props

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. At home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile). The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a hard one for scoring; when the Bucks are at home, opposing starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.4%). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent has made 50.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, -29.9% less than he's made over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (52.3%). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league). Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Max Strus has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (81st percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production across the board.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league). Jimmy Butler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Kyle Lowry has converted 43.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's made from downtown overall this year while on the road. Kyle Lowry has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. At home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Khris Middleton has gone over 19.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jrue Holiday has gone over 17.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Brook Lopez has gone over 15.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Pat Connaughton has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Caleb Martin has gone over 9.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Joe Ingles has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has gone over 29.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 8.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Portis has gone over 8.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.