Miami @ Milwaukee props

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. At home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Gabe Vincent has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile). The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a hard one for scoring; when the Bucks are at home, opposing starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.4%). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent has made 50.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, -29.9% less than he's made over the course of the season.

Bobby Portis has made 49.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 14.4% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Bobby Portis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (52.3%). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league). Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Brook Lopez has sunk 8.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Brook Lopez has made a whopping 1.7 treys per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.0 rate last season. Brook Lopez has played 29.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Max Strus has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (81st percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production across the board.

Khris Middleton has attempted 14.7 shots per game over the last 15 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Khris Middleton has played 29.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.7%). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league). Jimmy Butler will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Grayson Allen has sunk 39.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jrue Holiday has attempted 8.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry has converted 43.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's made from downtown overall this year while on the road. Kyle Lowry has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat. At home, the Bucks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 65.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 30.4 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin has gone over 9.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 8.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Joe Ingles has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Pat Connaughton has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.