Miami Marlins

5th in National League East (26 - 34)

Next Game

Mon, Jun 1 18:45 ET
GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +120 moneyline
MIA PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +120 moneyline

PROJECTION

MIA PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.94% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+125
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Miami Marlins logo Washington Nationals logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.58 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miami Marlins logo Washington Nationals logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.58 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.5 -105
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +1.5 spread
0.36 PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -165
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TOTAL HITS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Stowers logo
Miami Marlins logo
K. Stowers (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Stowers logo
Miami Marlins logo
K. Stowers (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Kyle Stowers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last season has decreased to 7.1% this season.

u0.5 +160
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TOTAL HITS
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Cade Cavalli.

o0.5 -270
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TOTAL HITS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood's true offensive skill to be a .371, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .034 disparity between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.

u0.5 +200
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TOTAL HITS
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jose Tena has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jose Tena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.2% to 11.8%.

u0.5 +150
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TOTAL HITS
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Otto Lopez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Otto Lopez is in the 88th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

o0.5 -270
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TOTAL BASES
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today.

o1.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game.

o1.5 -105
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

o1.5 +150
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TOTAL BASES
Jakob Marsee logo
Miami Marlins logo
J. Marsee (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jakob Marsee logo
Miami Marlins logo
J. Marsee (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in today's matchup.. Jakob Marsee's launch angle this year (18.8°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° mark last season.

o1.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 2.2% rate last season to 7.6% this season.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards's true offensive skill to be a .319, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .066 disparity between that figure and his actual .385 wOBA.

u0.5 -3030
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Otto Lopez will be in a tough position in today's game.. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Otto Lopez has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .032 difference.

u0.5 -1408
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.33% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Nasim Nunez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 0th percentile this year.

u0.5 -5000
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christopher Morel logo
Miami Marlins logo
C. Morel (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christopher Morel logo
Miami Marlins logo
C. Morel (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.. Christopher Morel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Christopher Morel faces a tough challenge today.

u0.5 -1099
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.27% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. From last season to this one, Luis Garcia Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15.3% to 10%.. Luis Garcia Jr. has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, compiling a 5° angle on such balls in the last week.

u0.5 -752
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood's true offensive skill to be a .371, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .034 disparity between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.

u0.5 -426
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dylan Crews logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Crews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dylan Crews logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Crews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Dylan Crews has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +710
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STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Cade Cavalli logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Cavalli (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cade Cavalli logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Cavalli (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV

ANALYSIS

Projected catcher Keibert Ruiz projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given the 1.37 disparity between Cade Cavalli's 10.26 K/9 and his 8.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse in the future.

u5.5 -130
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STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Sandy Alcantara logo
Miami Marlins logo
S. Alcantara (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sandy Alcantara logo
Miami Marlins logo
S. Alcantara (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sandy Alcantara in the 17th percentile among all SPs in baseball.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Washington Nationals with a 20.9% underlying K%.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Washington Nationals have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in this game.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sandy Alcantara in today's game.

u4.5 -140
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TOTAL RBIS
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

o0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 2.2% rate last season to 7.6% this season.

o0.5 +175
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.5% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park projects as the #26 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -350
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -125
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +120 moneyline
MIA PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +120 moneyline

PROJECTION

MIA PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.94% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+125
bet365 logo
TOTAL
Miami Marlins logo Washington Nationals logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.58 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miami Marlins logo Washington Nationals logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.58 PROJECTION
+1.1 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.5 -105
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +1.5 spread
0.36 PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Miami Marlins logo
MIA +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
0.29% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 8th in the batting order today.. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Stowers logo
Miami Marlins logo
K. Stowers (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Stowers logo
Miami Marlins logo
K. Stowers (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Kyle Stowers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last season has decreased to 7.1% this season.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 12th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Cade Cavalli.

o0.5 -270
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HITS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood's true offensive skill to be a .371, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .034 disparity between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.

u0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jose Tena has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jose Tena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.2% to 11.8%.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Otto Lopez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Otto Lopez is in the 88th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.

o0.5 -270
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.56% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today.

o1.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game.

o1.5 -105
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jakob Marsee logo
Miami Marlins logo
J. Marsee (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jakob Marsee logo
Miami Marlins logo
J. Marsee (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in today's matchup.. Jakob Marsee's launch angle this year (18.8°) is considerably higher than his 10.9° mark last season.

o1.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 2.2% rate last season to 7.6% this season.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xavier Edwards logo
Miami Marlins logo
X. Edwards (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards's true offensive skill to be a .319, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .066 disparity between that figure and his actual .385 wOBA.

u0.5 -3030
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Otto Lopez logo
Miami Marlins logo
O. Lopez (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Otto Lopez will be in a tough position in today's game.. Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Otto Lopez has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .032 difference.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.33% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Nasim Nunez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 0th percentile this year.

u0.5 -5000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christopher Morel logo
Miami Marlins logo
C. Morel (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christopher Morel logo
Miami Marlins logo
C. Morel (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Christopher Morel is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.. Christopher Morel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Christopher Morel faces a tough challenge today.

u0.5 -1099
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Washington Nationals logo
L. Garcia Jr. (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.27% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. From last season to this one, Luis Garcia Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15.3% to 10%.. Luis Garcia Jr. has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, compiling a 5° angle on such balls in the last week.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood's true offensive skill to be a .371, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .034 disparity between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.

u0.5 -426
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-15.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dylan Crews logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Crews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dylan Crews logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Crews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-25.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Dylan Crews has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +710
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Cade Cavalli logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Cavalli (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Cade Cavalli logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Cavalli (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.61% EV

ANALYSIS

Projected catcher Keibert Ruiz projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given the 1.37 disparity between Cade Cavalli's 10.26 K/9 and his 8.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to perform worse in the future.

u5.5 -130
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Sandy Alcantara logo
Miami Marlins logo
S. Alcantara (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sandy Alcantara logo
Miami Marlins logo
S. Alcantara (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sandy Alcantara in the 17th percentile among all SPs in baseball.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Washington Nationals with a 20.9% underlying K%.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Washington Nationals have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in this game.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sandy Alcantara in today's game.

u4.5 -140
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

o0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 2.2% rate last season to 7.6% this season.

o0.5 +175
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.5% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park projects as the #26 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -350
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -125
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jose Tena logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
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J. Tena (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
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