Miami Marlins Picks
3rd in National League East
(78 - 80)
Next Game
Thu, Sep 24
14:20 ET
MIA @ CHC Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. Matthew Boyd will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Stowers today.. Kyle Stowers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Stowers in today's matchup.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusMIA @ CHC · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TOTAL
|
|||||||
|
SPREAD
CHC
+1.5 spread
-0.98
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
4.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
N. Hoerner
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.93
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
M. Busch
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
I. Happ
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
E. Ruiz
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
K. Stowers
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
O. Lopez
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
1.04
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
K. Stowers
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
G. Conine
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.62
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
7.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
N. Hoerner
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.21
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
O. Lopez
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Sanoja
(3B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.32
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
P. Crow-Armstrong
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
H. Hernandez
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.83
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
M. Conforto
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
0.63
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
E. Ruiz
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.59
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
K. Stowers
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
I. Happ
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
M. Conforto
(DH)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
H. Hernandez
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-13.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
G. Conine
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-21.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
P. Ramirez
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
N. Hoerner
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
H. Hernandez
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
K. Stowers
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
M. Conforto
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
M. Busch
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
3.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
E. Ruiz
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.27
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
G. Conine
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.28
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
I. Happ
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-10.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
P. Ramirez
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
N. Hoerner
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-15.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
M. Conforto
(DH)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
G. Conine
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
E. Ruiz
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-17.36%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
SPREAD
CHC
+1.5 spread
-0.98
PROJECTION
-2.5
DIFFERENCE
4.12%
EV
TOTAL HITS
N. Hoerner
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.93
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.52%
EV
TOTAL HITS
M. Busch
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.67%
EV
TOTAL HITS
I. Happ
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.49%
EV
TOTAL HITS
E. Ruiz
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.11%
EV
TOTAL HITS
K. Stowers
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.23%
EV
TOTAL HITS
O. Lopez
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
1.04
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.41%
EV
TOTAL BASES
K. Stowers
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.38%
EV
TOTAL BASES
G. Conine
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.62
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
7.25%
EV
TOTAL BASES
N. Hoerner
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.21
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.4%
EV
TOTAL BASES
O. Lopez
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.43%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Sanoja
(3B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.32
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.41%
EV
TOTAL BASES
P. Crow-Armstrong
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.77%
EV
TOTAL BASES
H. Hernandez
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.83
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL BASES
M. Conforto
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
0.63
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL BASES
E. Ruiz
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.59
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
K. Stowers
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.33%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
I. Happ
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.39%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
M. Conforto
(DH)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.39%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
H. Hernandez
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-13.97%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
G. Conine
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-21.7%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
P. Ramirez
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
N. Hoerner
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
H. Hernandez
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.57%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
K. Stowers
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.79%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
M. Conforto
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.22%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
M. Busch
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
3.1%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
E. Ruiz
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.27
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.54%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
G. Conine
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.28
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.86%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
I. Happ
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-10.05%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
P. Ramirez
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-14.49%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
N. Hoerner
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-15.46%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
M. Conforto
(DH)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.87%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
G. Conine
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.42%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
E. Ruiz
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.13
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-17.36%
EV
MIA @ CHC · Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.