Miami Marlins Picks
4th in National League East
(19 - 23)
Next Game
Wed, May 13
19:40 ET
MIA @ MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases
Christopher Morel o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Christopher Morel has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Simeon Woods Richard has a pitch-to-contact profile (12th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.. When it comes to his home runs, Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 19.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.4.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 7th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Byron Buxton has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 20.5% seasonal rate to 29.3% over the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Max Meyer in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Royce Lewis has been unlucky this year, putting up a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .049 disparity.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 14th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In comparison to his 88.5-mph average last year, Otto Lopez's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.2 mph.
Total Bases
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Connor Norby is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.6) may lead us to conclude that Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 13.9 actual HR/600.. Connor Norby has notched a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile.
Total RBIs
Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Christopher Morel has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (29.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Simeon Woods Richard has a pitch-to-contact profile (12th percentile K%) — great news for Morel.. When it comes to his home runs, Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 19.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.4.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 7th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Byron Buxton has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 20.5% seasonal rate to 29.3% over the past 14 days.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Royce Lewis has been unlucky this year, putting up a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .049 disparity.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Ryan Jeffers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 93.8-mph over the past week.
