Colorado Rockies

Picks

With temperatures in the upper 70s at Coors, the conditions are ripe for hitters to plate some runs. Quintana’s metrics are a disaster, and the Dodgers rake. On the other side, Worbleski’s hot start is aided by an unsustainable .154 BABIP, and his 1.6% K-BB% is concerning. This is the fourth game in four days, and both bullpens are taxed. Colorado has seen four relievers toss 30+ pitches in the last three days, whereas the Dodgers likely burned Edwin Diaz on Sunday. 

Jose Quintana has yet to pitch at Coors Field this year, but a matchup vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers in decent hitting conditions isn’t one the veteran lefty is likely looking forward to. This could get ugly, and LA should see plenty of innings against a Colorado Rockies bullpen that has been punching above its weight and may be without its three best arms today. Bettors don’t usually get elite prices at Coors, but I’ll take the best HR park on the slate when narrowing down a small card. The value leans to left-handed bats, as Quintana isn’t tough on lefties, and books tend to shade those matchups. Kyle Tucker at +410 is the target. He’s already gone deep at Coors in this series, handles lefties well, and carries the best price among the top-tier bats in the LA lineup. THE BAT grades him as a Top-15 hitter in baseball.