MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Apr 3 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 0th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.. The #4 stadium in the league for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Keibert Ruiz has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° just 20% of the time over the past week.. Keibert Ruiz has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .261 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .222 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Jose Tena logo
Jose Tena o0.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 1.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Tena tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Apr 3 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ramon Urias logo
Ramon Urias u0.5 Total Hits (+136)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ramon Urias is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Ramon Urias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Urias today.. Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.
Total Bases
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o0.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Colt Keith is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Apr 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Despite the hot start, I'm not convinced the Marlins are a good team. They've beaten up on the Rockies and White Sox, and the Yankees present a whole new set of problems. Will Warren looked good on debut, and the Yankees, playing at home in their home opener, should run away with this one. 

Total Hits
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium profiles as the #27 venue in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Eury Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today.. Today, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (92nd percentile).
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Apr 3 • 2:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
10% of the time that Wilyer Abreu has started against a righty on the mound since the start of last season, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. As it relates to his batting average, Wilyer Abreu has been lucky since the start of last season. His .257 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.
Total Hits
Carlos Narvaez logo
Carlos Narvaez u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have a tough challenge today.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Apr 3 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter o0.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Evan Carter will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Miguel Amaya logo
Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) suggests that Miguel Amaya has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .358 actual wOBA.. Since the start of last season, Miguel Amaya's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) ranks in the 12th percentile at 87.4 mph.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Posting a 95.2-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been in great form lately.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brenton Doyle's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Brenton Doyle has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 53.8% of the time in the last week.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 9th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature on the slate at 41°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Since the start of last season, Trevor Larnach's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 22nd percentile at 90.5 mph.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total Bases (-160)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle in today's game... and even better, Boyle has a large platoon split.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Apr 3 • 4:12 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Taylor Ward's 13.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. HRs are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the majors.. With a .204 batting average since the start of last season, Oneil Cruz has performed in the 5th percentile.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Apr 3 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup.. In today's game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (94th percentile).. Typically, batters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Carter Jensen has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time.. Carter Jensen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Carter Jensen has struggled to lift the ball in recent games, posting a -15° launch angle in the past week.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Apr 3 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brendan Donovan logo
Brendan Donovan u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Reid Detmers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. Brendan Donovan has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. This season, there has been a decline in Brendan Donovan's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.55 ft/sec last year to 24.34 ft/sec currently.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Apr 3 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Brice Matthews is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Brice Matthews has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the driest conditions on the schedule today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.
Total Hits
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u0.5 Total Hits (+172)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the driest conditions on the schedule today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47.9% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Isaac Paredes usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Apr 3 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Matt Olson is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Apr 3 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, the tallest fences are at Oracle Park.. Over the past week, Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 76.5 mph to 71.2 mph.. Rafael Devers has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past week's worth of games.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .361 actual wOBA.
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