LIVE Bottom 2nd Sep 27
BAL 0 +202 o9.0
NYY 2 -224 u9.0
STL +155 o9.5
CHC -169 u9.5
TB +148 o8.0
TOR -161 u8.0
CHW +106 o8.5
WAS -115 u8.5
COL +205 o8.0
SF -227 u8.0
DET +105 o8.5
BOS -114 u8.5
NYM -130 o8.0
MIA +120 u8.0
MIN +185 o8.5
PHI -203 u8.5
TEX +128 o7.0
CLE -139 u7.0
CIN +119 o8.0
MIL -129 u8.0
PIT +153 o8.0
ATL -167 u8.0
AZ +121 o8.0
SD -131 u8.0
HOU -135 o9.0
LAA +125 u9.0
LAD +108 o7.0
SEA -117 u7.0
KC +106 o10.0
ATH -114 u10.0

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

CIN vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Paul Skenes logo Paul Skenes u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has failed to get 18 outs in five of his last seven starts and has hit 95+ pitches just once over those seven games dating back to June 25. His leash is always in question as long as he is working for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the plus money is the key here as the projection is around 94 pitches and 17.01 outs, which I’d put as closer to the ceiling than his floor. Punching people out is not the most efficient way of pitching, and Skenes’ pitch count can rise despite not getting himself into a lot of trouble. 

 

Walks Allowed
Brady Singer logo Brady Singer u1.5 Walks Allowed (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Reds have a great matchup today vs. the Pirates, and Jon Metler has already talked me into the Reds moneyline, in part thanks to Brady Singer. The Reds’ starter has been missing bats of late and absolutely filling the zone. In his last four starts, he has 28 Ks to just five walks and has gone Under this prop in four of his last five starts. His pricing is based a lot on some early command issues that might have been corrected. It’s a great day for pitching in Pittsburgh with the winds blowing in at nine mph. THE BAT projects for 1.65, and I’d buy this to +115.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo Isiah Kiner-Falefa o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

The Pirates' super utility man has been very productive at the plate lately, hitting .323 with seven runs scored and six RBIs over his last eight games. IKF also has the most experience vs. Singer from their time in the American League, going 6-for-14 (.429) in 17 career plate appearances. 

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Oneil Cruz has drastic home/away splits, clearing 1.5 bases in 41% of his games at PNC Park compared to just 29% on the road. Reds SP Brady Singer is an exploitable pitcher for the slugging outfielder, too. Cruz owns a .286 average and just a 13.6 K% when isolating sinkers thrown by right-handed pitchers this season, which happens to be Singer's bread and butter.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Just a great price for a lefty facing a righty that he has hit before over a small sample. Cruz didn't start yesterday but should slot into the clean-up spot today vs. a pitcher in Brady Singer who has an ERA over two full points higher on the road than at home. Not often can you get No.3 or 4 hitters at this price in any game, let alone guys with Cruz's power.

Total
Cincinnati Reds logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo u7.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

It's Paul Skenes day, which usually means the Pirates bats will go cold and provide no run support for the face of their franchise. While that's bad for the Pirates, it's good for us, as we take the Under here. Brady Singer has been better of late, giving up just one run across his last two starts (13 1/3 innings). 

Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Paul Skenes.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brady Singer) in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Paul Skenes logo
Paul Skenes u17.5 Outs Recorded (+150)
Projection 17.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The Cincinnati Reds projected offense profiles as the 4th-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Paul Skenes's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this season (97.5 mph) below where it was last season (98.9 mph).. Paul Skenes's 2236-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 23rd percentile among all SPs.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jack Suwinski logo
Jack Suwinski o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Paul Skenes.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.6-mph EV.. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 14% to 21.8%.
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CIN vs PIT Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

66% picking Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under

34%
66%

Total PicksCIN 200, PIT 391

Total
Over
Under

CIN vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tommy Pham is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Elly De La Cruz
E. De La Cruz
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

TJ Friedl
T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Gavin Lux
G. Lux
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Gavin Lux's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gavin Lux's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Last year, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .039 discrepancy.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Last year, Ke'Bryan Hayes had an average launch angle of 2.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .039 discrepancy.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jake Fraley
J. Fraley
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jack Suwinski
J. Suwinski
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Austin Hays
A. Hays
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. This season, Austin Hays has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.7 mph compared to last year's 91.6 mph mark.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. This season, Austin Hays has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.7 mph compared to last year's 91.6 mph mark.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Noelvi Marte
N. Marte
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. In the past week's worth of games, Noelvi Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 14.3%.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. In the past week's worth of games, Noelvi Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 14.3%.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Tyler Stephenson
T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.6-mph EV.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Tyler Stephenson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.6-mph EV.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Jared Triolo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Jared Triolo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today.

Matt McLain Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Matt McLain
M. McLain
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Matt McLain

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Jose Trevino
J. Trevino
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

Spencer Steer
S. Steer
first base 1B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Spencer Steer, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.5° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for right-handed BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of the day at 82°. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Spencer Steer, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.5° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

CIN vs PIT Preview

Last Meeting ( May 21, 2025 ) Cincinnati 1, Pittsburgh 3

Paul Skenes will have another chance to bolster his case for the National League Cy Young Award when he and the host Pittsburgh Pirates oppose the Cincinnati Reds in the opener of a four-game series on Thursday night.

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