Boston @ Washington Picks & Props

When it comes to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nationals Park projects as the #27 park in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's matchup. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 89.6-mph in the past two weeks. Jarren Duran has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 21st percentile with a 3.79 K/BB rate.

In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage today. David Hamilton has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.1-mph mark. David Hamilton has been unlucky this year, notching a .218 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .278 — a .060 difference.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito. Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcelo Mayer will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka today. Marcelo Mayer has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week, Marcelo Mayer's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Roman Anthony will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game. Roman Anthony has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brady House's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brady House will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brady House has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 84.9-mph.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trevor Story has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Trevor Story has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure. Over the last week, Trevor Story's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

Daylen Lile's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daylen Lile will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage today.

Abraham Toro is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Abraham Toro's launch angle this year (16.8°) is considerably better than his 12.1° figure last season. Abraham Toro's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (27.5° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 11.8° seasonal mark.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the last week, Carlos Narvaez's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.8%. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Carlos Narvaez sports a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph figure. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 16.5% to 20.2%.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Riley Adams's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%. Riley Adams has been unlucky this year, notching a .199 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .086 gap.

Alex Call has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.