Cleveland @ Chicago Picks & Props

CLE vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
Chicago Cubs logo CHC -1.5 (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Guardians are reeling along a 7-15 stretch with an MLB low .265 wOBA and .123 ISO, and the club ranks 29th and 28th in the two metrics for the year against left-handed pitchers. As a result, I’m confident Chicago southpaw Matthew Boyd (2.65 ERA and 1.10 WHIP) can navigate his way through the Cleveland lineup efficiently enough for the Chicago bats to put numbers on the board. The North Siders are also 25-15 at home and sport a third-ranked wOBA and fourth-ranked ISO against right-handed pitchers, after all.

Total RBIs
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355.. Carson Kelly has put up a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.
Total RBIs
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. Checking in at the 77th percentile for power, Dansby Swanson has averaged 25.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Hedges logo
Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Austin Hedges has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.. Austin Hedges's 24.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Bo Naylor logo
Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° figure last year.. Bo Naylor's quickness has improved this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.15 ft/sec now.. When it comes to his batting average, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .168 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .202.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Johnathan Rodriguez logo
Johnathan Rodriguez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.. Johnathan Rodriguez's speed has increased this season. His 26.82 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.31 ft/sec now.
Outs Recorded
Matthew Boyd logo
Matthew Boyd u17.5 Outs Recorded (+104)
Projection 16.2 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Cleveland Guardians have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games. Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.. With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Boyd encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.. Given the 1.3 gap between Matthew Boyd's 2.65 ERA and his 3.95 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
David Fry logo
David Fry o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.
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CLE vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

75% picking Chi. Cubs

25%
75%

Total PicksCLE 220, CHC 646

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline

CLE vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Johnathan Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Johnathan Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

Johnathan Rodriguez logo

Johnathan Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Daniel Schneemann
D. Schneemann
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Daniel Schneemann has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.9% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last 14 days. Daniel Schneemann has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph average. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.8% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Daniel Schneemann logo

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Daniel Schneemann has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.9% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last 14 days. Daniel Schneemann has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph average. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.8% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

Lane Thomas logo

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 87.9-mph.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Steven Kwan has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past two weeks, Steven Kwan has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.

Steven Kwan logo

Steven Kwan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Steven Kwan has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past two weeks, Steven Kwan has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Gavin Williams in this game. Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Gavin Williams in this game. Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Bo Naylor
B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° figure last year. Bo Naylor's quickness has improved this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.15 ft/sec now. When it comes to his batting average, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .168 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .202.

Bo Naylor logo

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° figure last year. Bo Naylor's quickness has improved this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.15 ft/sec now. When it comes to his batting average, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .168 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .202.

David Fry Total Hits Props • Cleveland

David Fry
D. Fry
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.

David Fry logo

David Fry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Kyle Tucker logo

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Shaw will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is considerably lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Matt Shaw will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is considerably lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Ramirez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Jose Ramirez logo

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Ramirez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 92.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the last week. Nolan Jones has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Nolan Jones logo

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the last week. Nolan Jones has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Austin Hedges
A. Hedges
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hedges has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Austin Hedges's 24.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.

Austin Hedges logo

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hedges has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Austin Hedges's 24.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael Busch's launch angle of late (20.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.3° seasonal angle.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. Michael Busch will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael Busch's launch angle of late (20.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.3° seasonal angle.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong logo

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Carlos Santana has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Carlos Santana logo

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Carlos Santana has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 87.2-mph. Over the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 87.2-mph. Over the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Angel Martinez
A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (34.2° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 17.8° seasonal figure. Angel Martinez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .026 deviation.

Angel Martinez logo

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Angel Martinez's launch angle in recent games (34.2° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 17.8° seasonal figure. Angel Martinez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .026 deviation.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Cleveland Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dude18555 5-5-0 +18995
2 HJLOPEZ 8-2-0 +16210
3 mindsusan12 6-2-2 +14485
4 lusvegasluva 4-5-1 +14215
5 OMREBEL02 2-8-0 +13685
6 RebelTell2 7-3-0 +13150
7 allan6 7-2-1 +12945
8 peacy454 4-6-0 +12845
9 midway1942 6-3-1 +12570
10 BRUNOD 8-2-0 +12486
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Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
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