Boston @ New York Picks & Props

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

Kristian Campbell's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kristian Campbell has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's matchup. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 8.4° angle last season. Over the last week, Jarren Duran's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.8%. Posting a 3.62 K/BB rate this year, Jarren Duran has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Marcelo Mayer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Marcelo Mayer has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 85.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 16.5% to 20.4%. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 20.4% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Over the past 7 days, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 50%. Trevor Story has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 102.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90-mph average.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's game. Bats such as Austin Wells with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Walker Buehler. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge today. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Abraham Toro is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Abraham Toro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Abraham Toro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 45.1% on the season to 63.6% over the last 7 days.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Carlos Narvaez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Carlos Narvaez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph EV. In the last week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph of late.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Walker Buehler. Jasson Dominguez will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jasson Dominguez has compiled a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 16° angle is among the highest in the game this year (82nd percentile).

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage today. DJ LeMahieu has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph EV. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.2% on the season to 33.3% over the past week.