St. Louis @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nathan Church will have the handedness advantage over Javier Assad in today's matchup. Nathan Church has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.78 ft/sec this year, Nathan Church is notably quick.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today. Victor Scott II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 44.6% on the season to 83.3% in the last week's worth of games. Victor Scott II has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .213 mark is a fair amount lower than his .245 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jimmy Crooks will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today. In the past week's worth of games, Jimmy Crooks's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 14.3%. Jimmy Crooks has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Kyle Leahy in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance this year. His .228 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .254.

Jose Fermin is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jose Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) suggests that Jose Fermin has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .219 actual batting average.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jordan Walker has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 18.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 5.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game. Alec Burleson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kyle Leahy. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game. Nolan Gorman's launch angle in recent games (34.7° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 21.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge today. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Leahy in today's game. Kyle Tucker will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Thomas Saggese is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the past 7 days, Thomas Saggese's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 92.7-mph of late. Thomas Saggese's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 49.2% on the season to 56.7% in the last two weeks.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Moises Ballesteros will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Moises Ballesteros's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 51.2% on the season to 57.9% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph in recent games.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Matt Shaw pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Matt Shaw will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 14.3%. Matt Shaw has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 84.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ivan Herrera has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games. Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last year's 91.5-mph average.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nolan Arenado has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 89.4-mph. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 17.6% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Reese McGuire has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.