Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Compared to last season, Jake McCarthy has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.4% to 17.6% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the last 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph of late.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. With a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Gavin Sheets is ranked in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Jorge Barrosa's footspeed has improved this year. His 28.04 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.9 ft/sec now. Jorge Barrosa has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .167 rate is deflated compared to his .195 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Elias Diaz will have an edge in today's matchup. Elias Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (18.3°) is significantly better than his 7.3° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Ryan O'Hearn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to last season, Ryan O'Hearn has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.8% to 47.4% this season. Over the past 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn's 67.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.4%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an advantage today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Blaze Alexander's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Blaze Alexander has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Blaze Alexander has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last season to 13.4% this year.

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Adrian Del Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Adrian Del Castillo and his 19.4° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 91st percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Ketel Marte's launch angle this season (15.2°) is quite a bit better than his 9.3° mark last season. Over the past 7 days, Ketel Marte's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

Corbin Carroll projects as the 18th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage today. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Corbin Carroll has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 7.3% rate last year to 14.5% this year.

Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jackson Merrill has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13.3% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Gabriel Moreno has notched a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Gabriel Moreno is positioned in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 20.2% this season. In notching a .366 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Geraldo Perdomo is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today. Ildemaro Vargas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph EV.

Alek Thomas is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jose Iglesias will hold the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) suggests that Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year with his .232 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.9-mph over the course of the season to 88.8-mph in recent games.

Connor Kaiser hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.