MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Jac Caglianone will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize today.. Jac Caglianone has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Carter Jensen will hold the platoon advantage over Casey Mize today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.3°, Carter Jensen has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.7° angle over the last 14 days.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 55 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Given Ryan Johnson's large platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Johnson today... and even more favorably, Johnson has a large platoon split.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 37.2% on the season to 16.7% in the last 14 days.. Dylan Crews has recorded a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 14th percentile.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daulton Varsho's BABIP talent is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height in the majors.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.
Total Home Runs
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.2-mph mark.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alejandro Kirk's true offensive talent to be a .337, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 disparity between that figure and his actual .277 wOBA.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (48.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 19%.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. In the last week, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 22.2%.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 38.9% over the last week.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.. Chase DeLauter has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Leody Taveras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (46.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Leody Taveras has posted a .319 BABIP this year.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young today.. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Yastrzemski's true offensive talent to be a .331, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .031 deviation between that mark and his actual .300 wOBA.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
LaMonte Wade Jr. logo
LaMonte Wade Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+830)
Projection 0.13
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game.. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 21.9%.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Despite posting a .295 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has had some very poor luck given the .028 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 95°.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Keaschall will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total RBIs (+355)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.. Weston Wilson grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).. Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total Bases
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Raley is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+227)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. When it comes to his batting average, Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .220 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.. Luis Robert Jr.'s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115.8 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+166)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Mookie Betts pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Mookie Betts tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Despite posting a .308 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has suffered from bad luck given the .040 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game.. JJ Bleday is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.