Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Christopher Morel has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.3% rate last season to 15.5% this year. Christopher Morel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.7% to 23%.

When assessing his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Yandy Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Yandy Diaz had an average launch angle of 1.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.2°.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Anthony Santander will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Santander has had some very poor luck given the .071 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Josh Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Trey Yesavage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.2°, Josh Lowe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.3° figure in the past week's worth of games.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Nick Fortes has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.5-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. In comparison to his 89.5-mph average last year, Junior Caminero's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 92.4 mph.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Ernie Clement has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 17th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Chandler Simpson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trey Yesavage in today's game. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Trey Yesavage throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Boyle today. Daulton Varsho will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Jake Mangum has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 3.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days. In the last 7 days, Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nathan Lukes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today.

George Springer projects as the 19th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Trey Yesavage throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today's matchup.

In MLB, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (75%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Hunter Feduccia will have the handedness advantage over Trey Yesavage today. Hunter Feduccia has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week. Hunter Feduccia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.