New York @ Chicago Picks & Props

As it relates to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .262 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306. Jose Siri's 15.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 11.8%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Juan Soto has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 18.2% seasonal rate to 24.3% in the last two weeks. Juan Soto's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (20.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 16.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Francisco Lindor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.9-mph.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best hitter in baseball. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today. Carson Kelly's launch angle recently (24.9° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably higher than his 16.6° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jonah Tong in this game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph mark. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 96.5-mph.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Mark Vientos will have an edge today. Mark Vientos's 95.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Moises Ballesteros will have an advantage today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today. Starling Marte has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days. Starling Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 90.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jeff McNeil has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.