New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Colton Cowser will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Trent Grisham has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph EV. Over the last two weeks, Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph recently.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Austin Wells has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.4-mph in the last two weeks. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.9° figure last season. In the last 7 days, Austin Wells's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has been unlucky this year. His .215 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last year to 16.1% this year. Last year, Jazz Chisholm Jr. had an average launch angle of 13.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 21.3°.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 107.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 97.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Jackson Holliday hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Coby Mayo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 27.3%. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.3°, Coby Mayo has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 37.5° figure over the last 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dylan Beavers ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Dylan Beavers will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Anthony Volpe has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 4% rate last season to 9.9% this year. This season, Anthony Volpe has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year's 90.6 mph mark.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jose Caballero will have an advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Jose Caballero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 30%. In comparison to his 83.5-mph average last year, Jose Caballero's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 86.3 mph. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.9% to 49.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Cody Bellinger's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Austin Slater will have an advantage in today's matchup. Austin Slater hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Austin Slater has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 3.4% rate last season to 15.2% this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Warren has a large platoon split. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Samuel Basallo will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Samuel Basallo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Samuel Basallo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have the upper hand in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Jordan Westburg hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game. Dylan Carlson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph average.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jeremiah Jackson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph recently.

Tyler O'Neill has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ben Rice has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.