New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Samuel Basallo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Samuel Basallo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure. In the last 14 days, Samuel Basallo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 13%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 16.1% this year.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Austin Wells has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.6-mph over the past 14 days. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21°) is considerably better than his 16.9° mark last season. In the last 7 days, Austin Wells's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .211 rate is considerably lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Trent Grisham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Trent Grisham has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 97.3-mph in the past week. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.9° angle in the last two weeks. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Trent Grisham sits with a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Dylan Beavers's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Extreme flyball bats like Dylan Beavers tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 19th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week, Jose Caballero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 21.4%. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.4-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (22° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 4% rate last year to 9.9% this year. Anthony Volpe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph mark.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Aaron Judge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Giancarlo Stanton will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 103.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 94.1-mph mark.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jackson Holliday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Amed Rosario's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger's 18.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jordan Westburg will have an edge in today's game. Jordan Westburg hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jeremiah Jackson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jeremiah Jackson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Jeremiah Jackson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jorge Mateo will have the upper hand in today's game. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Jorge Mateo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 9.7% to 18.6% this season.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Austin Slater will have an edge in today's game. Austin Slater hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have the upper hand today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Luis Vazquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Luis Vazquez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Vazquez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Coby Mayo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Extreme groundball batters like Coby Mayo usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Max Fried. Coby Mayo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.4% up to 25%.

Dylan Carlson has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Ben Rice has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.