Toronto @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

TOR vs TB Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+423)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Guerrero Jr. is hitting .400 in September with two bombs. The Jays face Tampa Bay’s Shane Baz today, and Guerrero Jr. is 5-for-13 against him overall, going deep once. Vladdy’s power shows up more versus righties, smacking 17 home runs, compared to just five against lefties. 

Hits Allowed
Chris Bassitt logo Chris Bassitt u5.5 Hits Allowed (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Bassitt has allowed five or fewer hits in each of his past four starts while spinning a tidy 2.08 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Opposing hitters sport a miniscule .175 batting average against him during the run, too. 

MoneyLine
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Chris Bassitt has struggled on the road this year, posting a 5.42 ERA away from home. With Toronto’s right-hander allowing Tampa hitters to bat .301 against him, back the Rays on Thursday.

Total RBIs
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.55 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+144)
Projection 0.71 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Carson Williams logo
Carson Williams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-133)
Projection 1.43 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.74 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Daulton Varsho in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (37.8) implies that Daulton Varsho has had some very good luck this year with his 46.4 actual HR/600.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Davis Schneider logo
Davis Schneider o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ian Seymour logo
Ian Seymour o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-162)
Projection 1.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Robert Seymour will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Robert Seymour will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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TOR vs TB Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking Toronto vs Tampa Bay to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksTOR 184, TB 117

Total
Over
Under

TOR vs TB Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carson Williams Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Carson Williams
C. Williams
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Carson Williams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 16.7%. Carson Williams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 18.9% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Carson Williams logo

Carson Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Williams in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Carson Williams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 16.7%. Carson Williams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 18.9% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.03
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.03
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.03

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.09
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.09
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.09

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Josh Lowe
J. Lowe
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Lowe logo

Josh Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Josh Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Brandon Lowe logo

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today... and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today. Junior Caminero has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.1% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.01
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.01

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today. Junior Caminero has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.1% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the past 14 days.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.18
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Chandler Simpson logo

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.18
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.18

When estimating his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

Davis Schneider
D. Schneider
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. This season, Davis Schneider has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 93.1 mph mark.

Davis Schneider logo

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. This season, Davis Schneider has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 93.1 mph mark.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.02
Best Odds

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Mangum has recorded a .338 BABIP this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Jake Mangum logo

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.02
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.02

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Mangum has recorded a .338 BABIP this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Ian Seymour Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Ian Seymour
I. Seymour
reliever RP • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Robert Seymour will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Robert Seymour will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Robert Seymour's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph of late. Over the past week, Robert Seymour's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.6%.

Ian Seymour logo

Ian Seymour

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.72
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.72

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Considering Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Robert Seymour will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Robert Seymour will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Robert Seymour's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph of late. Over the past week, Robert Seymour's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.6%.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.98
Best Odds

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .281 batting average this year.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.98
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.98

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .281 batting average this year.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.17
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.9-mph.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.17
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.17

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.9-mph.

Tristan Gray Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Tristan Gray
T. Gray
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Tristan Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tristan Gray will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.354) implies that Tristan Gray has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .277 actual wOBA.

Tristan Gray logo

Tristan Gray

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Tristan Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today... and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tristan Gray will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.354) implies that Tristan Gray has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .277 actual wOBA.

Hunter Feduccia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Hunter Feduccia
H. Feduccia
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.66
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Hunter Feduccia will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Hunter Feduccia will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Hunter Feduccia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 46.9% on the season to 69.2% in the last two weeks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Feduccia has had some very poor luck this year. His .234 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Hunter Feduccia logo

Hunter Feduccia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.66
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.66

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Because of Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Hunter Feduccia will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Hunter Feduccia will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Hunter Feduccia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 46.9% on the season to 69.2% in the last two weeks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Feduccia has had some very poor luck this year. His .234 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

Addison Barger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz today. Addison Barger will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Addison Barger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

Addison Barger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz today. Addison Barger will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP. Addison Barger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.08
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. George Springer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 16.8% this year.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.08
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.08

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. George Springer has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 16.8% this year.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Tyler Heineman Total Hits Props • Toronto

Tyler Heineman
T. Heineman
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Tyler Heineman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Tyler Heineman's 20° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the majors: 88th percentile. With a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Heineman grades out in the 88th percentile.

Tyler Heineman logo

Tyler Heineman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.63
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.63

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Tyler Heineman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 16th-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays. Tyler Heineman's 20° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the majors: 88th percentile. With a .353 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Heineman grades out in the 88th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
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Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
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