Atlanta @ Washington Picks & Props

ATL vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Washington Nationals logo o9.0 (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Mitchell Parker has a 5.69 ERA, the second-highest among qualified starters in 2025. That alone is enough to have me looking at the Over. But Spencer Strider, while better lately, hasn't been his peak self either. But even if Strider pitches well, we're talking about MLB's worst bullpen (Washington - 5.47 ERA) and Atlanta's middling one (4.27 ERA).

Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+131)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park.. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
Total RBIs
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Drake Baldwin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. In the past week, Marcell Ozuna's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Strider.. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 21.4%.
Outs Recorded
Mitchell Parker logo
Mitchell Parker u16.5 Outs Recorded (-112)
Projection 14.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Mitchell Parker in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Mitchell Parker is projected to throw 83 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.. It may be smart to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.. Riley Adams, the Nationals's expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
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ATL vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

ATL vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Michael Harris II's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Harris II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and James Wood will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Drake Baldwin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Drake Baldwin logo

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Drake Baldwin has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 21.4%.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Matt Olson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. In the past week's worth of games, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 21.4%.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Mitchell Parker today. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Jurickson Profar logo

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Mitchell Parker today. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Ronald Acuna Jr. logo

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game. Daylen Lile will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Daylen Lile logo

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's game. Daylen Lile will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an edge in today's matchup. Robert Hassell III will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Robert Hassell III has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 15% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Robert Hassell III will have an edge in today's matchup. Robert Hassell III will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Robert Hassell III has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 15% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.2°, Dylan Crews has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.6° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games. Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 figure is deflated compared to his .236 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dylan Crews logo

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dylan Crews ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Crews has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.2°, Dylan Crews has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.6° mark in the past two weeks' worth of games. Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .205 figure is deflated compared to his .236 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ha-Seong Kim
H. Kim
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an advantage today. Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .234 rate is a fair amount lower than his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ha-Seong Kim logo

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an advantage today. Ha-seong Kim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .234 rate is a fair amount lower than his .250 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brady House has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Brady House will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Brady House has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.3-mph in the past 14 days. Brady House's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 28% over the past 14 days.

Brady House logo

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brady House has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Brady House will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Brady House has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.3-mph in the past 14 days. Brady House's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 17.5% on the season to 28% over the past 14 days.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. In the past week, Marcell Ozuna's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Marcell Ozuna logo

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. In the past week, Marcell Ozuna's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nacho Alvarez Jr.
N. Alvarez Jr.
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Nacho Alvarez Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. logo

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Nacho Alvarez Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side against Mitchell Parker today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Ozzie Albies has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the last two weeks.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side against Mitchell Parker today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 16th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Ozzie Albies has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the last two weeks.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Garcia Jr. logo

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an advantage in today's game. Luis Garcia Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Strider. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Spencer Strider. Josh Bell has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.4-mph mark. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 48.9% on the season to 71.4% in the past week's worth of games. Riley Adams has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .196 mark is quite a bit lower than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Riley Adams logo

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.4-mph mark. Riley Adams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 48.9% on the season to 71.4% in the past week's worth of games. Riley Adams has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .196 mark is quite a bit lower than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
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