Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph average last season has fallen to 85.8-mph. Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (9.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.3° mark last year. Luis Arraez has notched a .297 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 19th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Kyle Karros's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Braxton Fulford hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Braxton Fulford's true offensive skill to be a .294, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .042 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .252 wOBA. Braxton Fulford is very quick, checking in at the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.06 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Ezequiel Tovar's launch angle lately (24.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16.2° seasonal mark. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 43% to 51.3%.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Yu Darvish throws from, Yanquiel Fernandez will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jordan Beck's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 10.4% to 16.8%. In the last week's worth of games, Jordan Beck's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .291 figure is quite a bit lower than his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today's game. Jake Cronenworth will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Iglesias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Iglesias has had some very poor luck given the .026 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hunter Goodman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 95-mph. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 40.1%.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yu Darvish in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13% to 18.3%. Over the past week, Mickey Moniak's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Freeman has had some very poor luck this year with his .320 actual wOBA. By putting up a .294 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Tyler Freeman has performed in the 97th percentile. Tyler Freeman has displayed good plate discipline this year, placing in the 84th percentile with a 1.6 K/BB rate.

Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage today. Ramon Laureano has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 95.2-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle recently (22.5° in the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 9° seasonal figure.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Manny Machado has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.4° mark in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over German Marquez in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today. Jackson Merrill may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.