Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

Joey Loperfido's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Joey Loperfido will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Joey Loperfido will hold that advantage in today's game. Joey Loperfido's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.5% to 49.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's game. Dylan Beavers has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Ryan Mountcastle has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. In the past 14 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (12.9°) is a considerable increase over his 9.2° figure last season.

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. This year, Jeremiah Jackson's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 78th percentile at 94.4 mph. With a .300 batting average this year, Jeremiah Jackson has performed in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has been unlucky this year, notching a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .360 — a .021 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game. Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the past week, Jackson Holliday's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph in recent games.

Alex Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Jackson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 93.3-mph EV. Since the start of last season, Alex Jackson's 11.6% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Addison Barger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Albert Suarez in today's game. Addison Barger will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Addison Barger has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber in today's game. In the past 7 days, Colton Cowser's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Colton Cowser has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32° mark in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.2° mark in the last two weeks. Posting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement finds himself in the 80th percentile.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. In the last 7 days, Dylan Carlson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 33.3%. Dylan Carlson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 95.7-mph over the past week. In the past week's worth of games, Dylan Carlson's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle this year (24.9°) is a significant increase over his 20° figure last season. Tyler O'Neill has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .305 rate is quite a bit lower than his .358 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game. Davis Schneider's launch angle of late (42° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 24.6° seasonal angle.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.

Samuel Basallo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Samuel Basallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's game.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez in today's game. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last season to 17.4% this season. Daulton Varsho has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph EV.

Emmanuel Rivera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .240 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 92.7-mph average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. George Springer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. George Springer has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last season to 16.4% this year.