Los Angeles @ Seattle Picks & Props

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97-mph average to last season's 95-mph EV. Compared to last year, Travis d'Arnaud has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.2% to 21.6% this season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) provides evidence that Travis d'Arnaud has had some very poor luck this year with his .268 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to last year, Luke Raley has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.8% to 46.8% this season. Luke Raley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .296 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .329 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Victor Robles's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 33.3%.

Luis Rengifo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Luis Rengifo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 22.7% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Taylor Ward has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. In terms of his batting average, Taylor Ward has been unlucky this year. His .224 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. J.P. Crawford has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 20%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.284) implies that J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year with his .265 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Josh Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Yoan Moncada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Chris Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Chris Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .201 mark is quite a bit lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Julio Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jo Adell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Jo Adell has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11.8% rate last season to 19% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the majors. Mike Trout is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Mike Trout's launch angle of late (22.1° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16.4° seasonal mark.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Zach Neto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Last year, Zach Neto had an average launch angle of 16.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20°.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Yusei Kikuchi in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mitch Garver will hold the platoon advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Mitch Garver's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.4-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games. Over the past week, Mitch Garver's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. In the last week, Oswald Peraza's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 17.6%. Oswald Peraza has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph average. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Oswald Peraza has suffered from bad luck this year. His .223 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .261.

Bryce Teodosio has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Bryce Teodosio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 13% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.68 ft/sec this year, Bryce Teodosio is remarkably athletic.