Milwaukee @ Texas Picks & Props

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 40% over the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonah Heim's true offensive ability to be a .286, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .021 deviation between that mark and his actual .265 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In comparison to his 83.3-mph average last year, Sal Frelick's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 85.5 mph.

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Jackson Chourio has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last two weeks. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.9-mph mark.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Over the past two weeks, Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In the past week's worth of games, Brice Turang's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 15.4%.

Cody Freeman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. The standard deviation of Cody Freeman's launch angle has been very consistent of late (37.5° in the last two weeks' worth of games), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Caleb Durbin has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.3-mph. Posting a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Burger has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Jake Burger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph recently.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Josh Jung has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28° angle over the last 7 days. Josh Jung has notched a .328 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's matchup. Joc Pederson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Joc Pederson has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.7° mark in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week. Wyatt Langford's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.5° mark last season.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.69 K/BB rate.

Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Isaac Collins has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Over the last week, Isaac Collins's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%. Isaac Collins has put up a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 87th percentile. Isaac Collins has compiled a .344 BABIP this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Alejandro Osuna will hold the platoon advantage over Chad Patrick in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Osuna will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.333) implies that Alejandro Osuna has suffered from bad luck this year with his .257 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Andrew Vaughn has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 98.2-mph in the past 7 days. Andrew Vaughn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 92.1-mph mark. Andrew Vaughn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 41.9% on the season to 62.5% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of plate discipline, William Contreras's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.39 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.

Out of all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 97th percentile with a 22.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Michael Helman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.