New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Max Kepler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Considering Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Max Kepler will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Nolan McLean in today's game... and moreover, McLean has a large platoon split. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Cedric Mullins is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst of all teams on the slate). In the past week, Cedric Mullins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.6% up to 25%.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today. Edmundo Sosa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Given Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Considering Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Francisco Lindor has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 92.8-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Mark Vientos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.3% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the past 14 days.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive ability to be a .326, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .016 deviation between that figure and his actual .310 wOBA. Based on Statcast data, Alec Bohm grades out in the 91st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285. Alec Bohm has recorded a .276 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today. Nick Castellanos has been unlucky this year, compiling a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .018 difference.

Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's game. Brett Baty has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Brett Baty has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph average. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brett Baty has been unlucky this year. His .319 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. The Barrel% of Francisco Alvarez has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 12% this season. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19.2% this year.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Because of Nolan McLean's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Out of all the teams in action today, the 10th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 10th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Utilizing Statcast data, Jeff McNeil grades out in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271. Placing in the 78th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .349 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Trea Turner has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.