Toronto @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. In the last two weeks, Andres Gimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 92.6-mph of late. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.1°) is a considerable increase over his 9.2° angle last season. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 16.2% on the season to 40% in the last week's worth of games.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25.4% up to 31.6%. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.1°, Aaron Judge has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.3° angle in the past two weeks.

Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 20.9° this year. In the last 14 days, Austin Wells has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 22.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has been unlucky this year. His .215 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last year to 17.7% this season.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Daulton Varsho tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#2-worst on the slate).

Anthony Volpe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Anthony Volpe's 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Volpe's true offensive talent to be a .311, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .023 deviation between that figure and his actual .288 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer in today's matchup. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today. Ryan McMahon has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 95.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Last season, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 10.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.3°. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 48% on the season to 70% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.408) implies that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has suffered from bad luck this year with his .382 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ernie Clement is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Utilizing Statcast data, Ernie Clement is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .271.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ben Rice will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Nathan Lukes has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 94-mph in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Nathan Lukes has been unlucky this year with his .254 actual batting average. Nathan Lukes has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Myles Straw will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Myles Straw has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Myles Straw is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate this year).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. George Springer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 16.6% this season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. In the past 14 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Bo Bichette will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Bo Bichette has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ty France will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Ty France has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 41.6% to 49.7%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Giancarlo Stanton has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 20.9% to 28.6%. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 97.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Max Scherzer in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Davis Schneider has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Hitters such as Davis Schneider with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.