Cleveland @ Boston Picks & Props

Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Nolan Jones has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks. Nolan Jones has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Gabriel Arias will have an edge today. Gabriel Arias hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 15.9%.

Steven Kwan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. As it relates to his batting average, Steven Kwan has suffered from bad luck this year. His .274 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .290.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Garrett Crochet today. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Angel Martinez's launch angle this season (18.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 12th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Romy Gonzalez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Romy Gonzalez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.5% rate last year to 14% this season.

Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Kyle Manzardo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past week, Kyle Manzardo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 27.3%. Kyle Manzardo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Austin Hedges will have an edge today. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Austin Hedges has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph average. Despite posting a .211 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Hedges has had some very poor luck given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .252.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage today. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Brayan Rocchio has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph mark. Brayan Rocchio has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .231 BA is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The #4 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Roman Anthony hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.328) may lead us to conclude that Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

David Fry is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand today. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. David Fry has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph average.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 park in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carlos Narvaez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.3-mph.