Atlanta @ Chicago Picks & Props

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Nick Allen has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph to 88.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Jake Fraley's launch angle from last season's 10.9° to 19.1° this year. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year, Jake Fraley is quite quick. When it comes to plate discipline, Jake Fraley's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.88 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 82nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 93.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Over the last 14 days, Jurickson Profar's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 36%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Marcell Ozuna is in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Over the last two weeks, Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s 57.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Colin Rea. Compared to last season, Vidal Brujan has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.6% to 17.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Michael Harris II has hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the last two weeks — 114.1-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dansby Swanson has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 14th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nico Hoerner has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 2.4% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the last week's worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Spencer Strider in today's matchup. Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Willi Castro has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last two weeks. Over the past two weeks, Willi Castro's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ozzie Albies has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 4.3% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the past week. Ozzie Albies has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph mark. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (27.9° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.1° seasonal angle.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's game. Matt Olson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today. Drake Baldwin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Michael Busch is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Matt Shaw will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Shaw has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 14.8% over the last two weeks. Matt Shaw has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 84.4-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in MLB. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.5% rate last season to 15.4% this season.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. By putting up a .353 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly is ranked in the 88th percentile for hitting ability. Carson Kelly has notched a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.