Miami @ New York Picks & Props

MIA vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Walks Allowed
Clay Holmes logo Clay Holmes o1.5 Walks Allowed (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Clay Holmes finally worked into the 7th inning in his last start — his first time recording 18+ outs in 12 starts — but don’t let that fool you into thinking he’s efficient. Holmes still burns through pitches, averaging 55 walks over 137 innings, and that inefficiency has been even worse at Citi Field. The Marlins aren’t a walk machine, but they’ve been league average in BB% over the last 30 days, and Holmes may be hitting a wall. After tossing just 63 innings in both 2023 and 2024, he's already more than doubled that in 2025. Fatigue = command issues, and on a small slate, this Over makes too much sense. I’d play this to -130. (Bonus: I’m also on Over 16.5 outs at plus money.

Total Bases
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Soto is slugging .490 and the advanced metrics suggest he's been very unlucky at the plate. He's in the Top-10 in barrel rate and exit velocity and his xSLG of .619 ranks third in the majors. The five-time Silver Slugger winner is due for positive regression and is in a good spot for that tonight. He'll be at home with the wind blowing towards the outfield at 10 mph and he'll have the platoon advantage against Marlins starter Adam Mazur. Mazur was rocked in his only big league appearance this year, surrendering four runs in 5 2/3 innings. He also struggled in his debut season last year, posting a 7.49 ERA with an OBA of .301 through eight starts.

Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Brett Baty ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Eric Wagaman logo
Eric Wagaman o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Eric Wagaman has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Javier Sanoja logo
Javier Sanoja o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dane Myers logo
Dane Myers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
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MIA vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking NY Mets

30%
70%

Total PicksMIA 192, NYM 454

Moneyline
MIA
NYM
Total

62% picking Miami vs NY Mets to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksMIA 237, NYM 144

Total
Over
Under

MIA vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Eric Wagaman logo

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Dane Myers logo

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Javier Sanoja logo

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Liam Hicks Total Hits Props • Miami

Liam Hicks
L. Hicks
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's game. Liam Hicks has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Liam Hicks logo

Liam Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's game. Liam Hicks has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today.

Heriberto Hernandez Total Hits Props • Miami

Heriberto Hernandez
H. Hernandez
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Heriberto Hernandez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 111.9 mph this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

Heriberto Hernandez logo

Heriberto Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Heriberto Hernandez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 111.9 mph this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Clay Holmes.

Xavier Edwards logo

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Clay Holmes.

Troy Johnston Total Hits Props • Miami

Troy Johnston
T. Johnston
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Troy Johnston has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's game. Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Troy Johnston logo

Troy Johnston

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Troy Johnston has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Troy Johnston will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's game. Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jakob Marsee Total Hits Props • Miami

Jakob Marsee
J. Marsee
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Jakob Marsee will have the upper hand in today's game. Jakob Marsee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jakob Marsee logo

Jakob Marsee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Jakob Marsee will have the upper hand in today's game. Jakob Marsee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Cedric Mullins logo

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Agustin Ramirez logo

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

Otto Lopez
O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Otto Lopez logo

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Luis Torrens's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

Luis Torrens logo

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Luis Torrens's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

Hayden Senger Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Hayden Senger
H. Senger
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hayden Senger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Hayden Senger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Hayden Senger has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week's worth of games.

Hayden Senger logo

Hayden Senger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of the day. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats. Hayden Senger hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Hayden Senger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Hayden Senger has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week's worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Miami Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 MatroxSD 7-3-0 +33200
2 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +28490
3 chuluckus 3-6-1 +28010
4 Alexandr1966 6-4-0 +26360
5 northlv6238 6-3-1 +23335
6 ewatson15 6-4-0 +22000
7 Forkball1 7-3-0 +20245
8 purple_stars 6-4-0 +16950
9 dogeatdog 6-4-0 +16115
10 jwwong 8-2-0 +16110
All Marlins Money Leaders

NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders
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